BTC/USD Go to 5th Elliot Wave?

I'm confused but , I believe BTC decides shortly. Now is over the 0,382 de Fibo and going to 0,236. If BTC can to break the level, them It will go directly to 5th Elliot wave to 70.000 Usd. But, the other hypothesis is BTC will not break the level of 0,236 and going down to 0,5 of Fibo. How do you think about?