Max profit: $156 Probability of Profit: 75% Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 18% Max loss with my risk management: ~$250
Req. Buy Power: $844 (max loss without management before expiry, no way to let this happen!) Tasty IVR: 5.4 Expiry: 15 days
Buy 2 SMH May21' 230 Put Sell 2 SMH May21' 235 Put
Credit PUT spread for 0.78cr each.
Stop/my risk management: Closing immediately if daily candle is closing BELOW the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be 250$. Probability of loss in this way: ~12% .
Take profit strategy: 65% of max.profit in this case with auto sell order at 0.27db. Probability of profit this way: ~88%.
Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case!
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Note: updated trendline. I'm not sh*t in my pants.