Will btc reclaim 200ma?

a lot of people are betting on btc to tank from here and make a new low or go back below 20k, but i have a gut feeling, we will do the opposite because whales are playing on that narrative. will we above 200ma and break this longterm downtrend? not sure if it will hold, but i think it will pump until cpi, and possibly even after. only a 9% move up to 200ma (forgot to mention the clean bounce off the 30 rsi)