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BTC retrace from 73k: Key levels to watch for clues

This is a follow up to my call for 73k target (click).

BTC hit the Genesis fib at $72,937 and is staggering.
We took some profits and expect to reload a bit lower.
Mapped are key support levels where to place our traps.

$ 69,096 is the "Ideal Retrace" zone to previous ATH.
$ 65,255 and 65,126 should be very strong support fibs.
Other minor zones and solo fibs may offer some support.

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עסקה פעילה
( (( BOOM )) )
תמונת-בזק
"Ideal Retrace" achieved.

Zoom IN (1min)
תמונת-בזק
GORGEOUS, see if bulls can hold it.

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הערה
Near term view with local fibs added:
תמונת-בזק
sister Genesis fibs our range holders, I
n between bulls just lost a support,
now hit or miss till 69,725

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הערה
The drop continued to our first "Major Support" and bounced
תמונת-בזק
Our "ideal Retrace" zone around 69k is now a Resistance zone.
So lets see what happens now, rejection could send us much lower.

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הערה
Bulls have reclaimed 69k תמונת-בזק
and may have avoided 69k from become nasty resistance,

Zoom IN (m15) and add a fib of the pullback in red
תמונת-בזק So currently the red 2.618 at 70,462 is the immediate hurdle for bulls.
Just below is the Genesis Fib at 69,096 that bulls really need to hold.

It's Friday after market close at the time of this post,
so we have the entire weekend of low liquidity moves,...

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הערה
Bounced from "Major Support" again
תמונת-בזק
into our "Ideal Retrace" zone that will now be resistance.

Zoom in (m5) for a closer look at our zone
תמונת-בזק
and we have a PING, confirming the lower boundary of that zone.

"Ping"=exact and violent ricochet from fib that you can almost HEAR.

My rule: "Not all Pings start a Reversal, but Most reversals Start with a Ping"

So it is VERY POSSIBLE we have "high of day" here,
currently Sunday afternoon before Asia market open.
This zone should hold until US open on Monday. lets see.

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הערה
Retrace continues
תמונת-בזק
Lost "Major" support at 65.25, fell to a "Minor" support at 62.8

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Zoom in (m1) for a closer look
תמונת-בזק
Zone was pierced twice and deeper the second time.
So it is unlikely this will hold, but maybe a little bounce.

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הערה
Since last update, we bounced on that "minor support"
תמונת-בזק
and smacked into the former "Major support" at 65.255

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Zoom in (m1) with some notes added:
תמונת-בזק
Bounce from "minor support" went nicely.
"Genesis fib" at 65,255 and key barrier here.
Currently bouncing off a "minor local fib"

Time to "fibulate" (lol) the last move, to project targets.

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הערה
Bottom in?
תמונת-בזק
Spectacular bounce off the Genesis fib at 61,256.44.
Blew through its sister fib and first major hurdle at 65,255.

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Zoom IN (m3) and adding a fib for last bounce wave
תמונת-בזק
points to a target of 69k, or to be precise 69,278.18

All in all I think "bottom is in".

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הערה
Back down to our "Major Support" around 65.25k
תמונת-בזק

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Zoom IN (m1) around that Major Support zone
תמונת-בזק
It is defined by a Genesis fib plus a Covid Stimulus fib (a Golden ratio)
So this is a very strong and important zone of Bitcoin's life.

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הערה
Still exploring this key zone from last snapshot
תמונת-בזק
exit either way needs watching carefully

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הערה
We fell out of the "Major" support at 65.25 and into a "Minor" support at 62.8k
תמונת-בזק
This is now a KEY support, defending the Genesis fib at 61,256.

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Zoom in (m5)
תמונת-בזק
Clean bounce starting, but at first possible hurdle already, sister of our bouncer.

See if we can bounce back up to retest 65.25k.

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הערה
Our "Minor support" at 62.8k held a second hit
תמונת-בזק
although it was pierced the second time, not a good sign.
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Zoom in (m1) for a closer look at the second bounce:
תמונת-בזק
Initially pierced but subsequent bounce off bottom bound was exact.
If this was the first bounce off this minor support, it would be ok.
But a second bounce only after being pierced is not a good sign.
.

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הערה
Back up into the "Major support" above 65,255
תמונת-בזק
Second attempt by bulls to take this zone.
This is at risk of becoming a major resistance.

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Zoom in (m5) for a closer look at the zone
תמונת-בזק
Perfect "Pings" on both boundaries of the zone.
Bulls must hold "Genesis" fib at 65,255
Bears must hod "Covid Stim" at 65,897

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הערה
Back above 69k
תמונת-בזק
Sitting on our Genesis fib at 69,096

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Zoom IN (m5)
תמונת-בזק
We have a PING (exact ricochet) that confirms and announces the fib to the whole world.

And what follows a Ping? I say to myself:
"Not all Pings start a Reversal, but Most reversals Start with a Ping"

ie: Perhaps the best chance for bulls to shove off this fib this weekend.

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הערה
Thus my enthusiasm for Pings
תמונת-בזק
In follow op to last snap shot above, where the Ping was first noted.

Again, this may or may not be a "reversal",
but IF it is anywhere nearby, then THIS is it.

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הערה
Again: Thus my enthusiasm for Pings:
תמונת-בזק
That Ping on the Genesis fib at 69.096 sent us all the way back up to the local fib at 71,023

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