Sometimes when people are watching a trend for a long time, it is easy to get into a trend and become confused about where price is heading. I regularly get comments in my posts and private messages on TradingView which ask me if "x" level is the level to be buying or watching or selling, or whatever it is. This shows me that a lot of traders on TradingView are still alienated and do not know where to be entering a position. For this reason, I've developed this grass roots, yet effective chart which will help everybody know where to be looking to trade Bitcoin.
Swiftly onto Bitcoin, price is trading at 6540 after breaking below the side-wards support and using it as a resistance. Since then price has been in a gentle fall to the downside, but there's not much enthusiasm behind the move, so I simply consider the move rangebound so far. Let's look at the simple details. Price as of now is trading below the side-wards resistance it just bounced off of, and it's using the 200 major moving average as resistance, AND the price Bitcoin tested the side-wards support as a new resistance also coincided with latest swing high resistance zone. This shows there is a compelling resistance ceiling here and price is not looking to break it so far.
If you turn your attention to my above chart, you'll see a thick black line. This isn't just a line, this is what you can call your "Trend meter" (If you like). This line tells you exactly when we are in bear territory, or bullish territory. It tells you a very simple story; if price has a candlestick body CLOSE above 6690, then we are in bullish territory. If price is trading below 6620, then we are in a bearish territory... It's that simple. If you look at price at present, it's clearly in the bearish territory so now you know you should not be entering a position to the upside because of 2 things. 1: There's no candlestick reversal candlestick signals, 2: Price has not closed above 6690 which is required on the Trend Meter to confirm any uptrend.
If anyones interested, they can see how I came up with this simple line by seeing what contributed to me choosing these levels, below.
= Above 6690 = Bullish — Above 6690 is clear of the side-wards resistance line. It is also above the 200 major moving average, and it is above the highs of the previous swing leg, which has been acting as a strong resistance as of recent times.
= Below 6620 = Bearish — Below 6620 is below the 200 major moving resistance line, it is below the side-wards support turned resistance line, and it is clear of the previous swing highs which were created on the lower low when price corrected up to the side-wards support turned resistance line.
Where do you think price is going? Leave a comment with a chart below and let's share our thoughts!
I'll continue to update this idea if it receives enough likes/attention.
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