Crypto - Bitcoin - The Big Short

מעודכן
Idea for Bitcoin:
- CPI will print a drop-off tomorrow. Inflation bulls will be decimated. Gold, Stocks, Commodities, Crypto.
- G7 this weekend will bring a relentless wave of FUD and global bans.
- Price broke down from the wedge on the bear flag and re-tested the wedge bottom.
- Classic washout of retail shorts before the flush.
- Saylor's liquidation will create extraordinary selling volume on price.

This is it.

We are nearing the end of this full Wyckoff Distribution structure:
CRYPTO - BTC - The Wyckoff Method #2


GLHF
- DPT
עסקה פעילה
Short positions... This is not retail. Something's got to give: תמונת-בזק
עסקה פעילה
BVOL24H suggest explosive move imminent:
Crypto - BVOL Suggests An Explosive Move Imminent
עסקה פעילה
With all the liquidity provided by shorts, bulls attempted to squeeze and moonshot it, but failed. Now shorts are covering with price declining. Bulls lost their chance, and proved too weak to push it through the resistance:
תמונת-בזק
עסקה פעילה
Bitcoin loses 30% hashrate over last 30 days:
blockchain.com/charts/hash-rate

Seems that China is shutting down crypto miners.
עסקה פעילה
logistics firm in Guangzhou confirms to CNBC - it’s airlifting 3,000kg (6,600lbs) bitcoin mining machines to Maryland, USA. Fenghua International advertises products delivered to door, tax on both ends cleared. Price per kilo: as low as $9.37.

China dumping not only cryptocurrencies but derivatives and hardware onto American retail...

MSTR's Saylor purchases bitcoin with junk bond offering and loans. Crypto itself is leveraged and Tether is backed on almost nothing.

How is it different from subprime mortgages, or even worse?
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"The sucker has always tried to get something for nothing" - Thomas F Woodlock
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Price makes a possible new ML Channel, making a 20k bottom more likely: תמונת-בזק
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Something to note:

The dump could be invalidated and it could be the start of a rally, but always watch for this washout before the flush. Countertrend moves usually precede a big move to shakeout retail.

Especially since this move is spot buying (vs. options hedging) meaning sellers might want to bid up a nice book to sell into, trapping as much retail longs as possible. Watch for blow-off top and big dump tonight if I am right:

תמונת-בזק
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)bitcoinforecastBTCBTCUSDBTCUSDTChart PatternsCryptocurrencyFundamental AnalysistotalmarketcapTrend Analysis

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