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seems we going to have red weeks ahead (2-4weeks)
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red line for hopium
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poc was 47491, its now 46386.
absorbed or sold ? leaning on distribution still.
volume surge towards resistance = evidence of supply.
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NoteBig flows into bonds this coming week; risk off
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Noteeager longs will be punished.
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red line shows bullas hopium.
dont see a any good retest of spring action.
i will only consider margin long if price reclaims and support on poc,
or market shows some signs of strength ( from spots )
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those red box is good buy opp anyway if it given.
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noteif price reclaims positive delta zone 44.9.
this will be a new range low, till then its range high.
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note
opposite view based on TA
3 drives reversal pattern
bullish divergence
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for the W(in)
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notewhy CO made a range up here? and dumped on fresh demand?
btc going to further dip? like 30k?
check back later
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AKA 2nd spring?
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Not longing under 47300.הערה
derivative rally like 42-58k = not healthy, why volume is not moderate.הערה
47k is poc for this whole range up.don't see good market buy action coming in from spot.
big longs opened in finex, not sure if its sustainable.
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noteMarch 26 Derebit options expiry
Notional Value 3.5b
Put/Call ratio 0.91
2 potential calls buying with bigger value 48k, 52k
puts - 40k Max pain > 28k
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noteBtc - Buy vs Sell (Spot vs Derivs)
Price: $46,380
Spot Vol.
Buy: 72.7M
Sell: 77.5M
Derivs Vol.
Buy: 331.2M
Sell: 386.3M
USDT Vol.
Buy: 22.3M
Sell: 20.8M
(Latest 1 hours of data)
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noteDeribit BTC Options
Call OI：95870 (+2%) Vol：14M (-18%)
Put OI：80135 (+1%) Vol：14M (+16%)
PCR：77 (+1%)
RD】3/5 (8:00 UTC) C 9289 / P 9650
YE】3/12 C 4864 / P 4076
PL】3/19 C 1888 / P 1964
GN】3/26 C 39826 / P 36170
BL】4/30 C 5221 / P 4134
210301 13:35
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notebounced with push on derivatives.
no signs of strength on spot market.
relief rally possible. no bias here, leaning we do have more downside after this.
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yellow box btc face supply
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zoom out.
its another accumulation. dont know the bottom, top.
should be defined soon.
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wyckoff theory / volume analהערה
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volume has trend
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note
47753 CB POC
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46891 FINEX
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notefinex premium gone when this range poc reversed.
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continuation vs reaccumulationcontinuation target should be around over 69k
reaccumulation target range around 33-40 (with possible spring to 29k)
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black ghost pattern if its continuation
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open a position after confirmation, y loss bottom or top, but there is many move to come with.
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its like dec 2020. no moderate volume in rise, but it broke upward without strength.
sideline for now
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382 support for leg up? 34k for reaccumulation?
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reclaim 618, i will look for long,until then hedged with btc short.
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small prints from last day, keep getting smaller smaller.lots of onchain movements.
exchanges seems refunding.
note
same happened last nov.30 ish, dec 25ish.
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4 hour vwap 465501 hour vwap 49002
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poc 46372around 46k would be good point if y look for long.
not interested atm.
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note
dxy showing strength
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lots of absorption on range highהערה
and alts recovered well.
hmm? up we go?
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im buying spot btc.עסקה סגורה: היעד הושג
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