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**BTC/USD Daily Chart Analysis & Trading Plan (March 2025)**

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### **BTC/USD Daily Chart Analysis & Trading Plan (March 2025)**

#### **Market Overview**
- **Closing Price:** $91,999.13 (+1.61%)
- **High:** $94,480.75
- **Low:** $87,831.99
- **BB 104 0.1 (Long-term Trend Indicator):**
- Upper: **$97,871.26**
- Lower: **$97,017.05**
- **BB 20 (Short-term Trend Indicator):**
- Middle Band (MB): **$93,255.95**
- Upper Band (UB1): **$98,048.81**
- Lower Band (LB1): **$88,463.09**

#### **Trend Analysis (DS Strategy Perspective)**
1. **Primary Trend (BB 104 0.1):**
- BTC has fallen below the **BB 104 0.1 Lower Band ($97,017.05)**, confirming a **downtrend**.
- This suggests a shift from a strong bullish phase into a corrective or bearish structure.

2. **Short-term Trend (BB 20 0.2):**
- The **Middle Band ($93,255.95)** is acting as resistance.
- The price is trading **below MB**, indicating continued short-term weakness.
- The price has slightly rebounded but remains inside the **LB12 Channel ($88,463.09 - $93,255.95)**, meaning it is still in a short-term downtrend.

3. **Key Support & Resistance Levels:**
- **Resistance:** **BB 20 MB ($93,255.95) & BB 104 0.1 ($97,017.05 - $97,871.26)**
- **Support:** **BB 20 LB1 ($88,463.09)**

#### **Trading Plan (SBD Strategy Execution)**
1. **Positioning Approach:**
- Since BTC is in a **downtrend (BB 104 0.1 Lower Band broken)**, we focus on **short positions** rather than longs.
- **No long entries unless BTC reclaims BB 104 0.1.**
- If BTC consolidates near **BB 20 LB1 ($88,463.09)** and shows weakness, it provides a potential short re-entry zone.

2. **Short Entry Strategy:**
- Look for rejection at **BB 20 MB ($93,255.95)** or **BB 104 0.1 Lower Band ($97,017.05)** as a short entry opportunity.
- If BTC rallies to BB 20 MB and fails to break above, this could serve as a **scaling-in zone for short positions**.

3. **Risk Management:**
- **Stop Loss:** Above **BB 104 0.1 Upper Band ($97,871.26)**.
- **Take Profit Targets:**
- First target: **BB 20 LB1 ($88,463.09)**
- If price breaks below LB1, the next target could be the **$80,000-$85,000** zone.

#### **Conclusion**
BTC is currently in a downtrend according to **BB 104 0.1**, and the recent short-term rebound does not yet confirm a reversal.
- **Strategy Focus:** **Prioritize short trades** unless BTC reclaims **BB 104 0.1**.
- **Key Watch Levels:** **BB 20 MB ($93,255.95)** for short entry, and **BB 20 LB1 ($88,463.09)** as first support.
- **Invalidation:** A break above **BB 104 0.1 Upper Band ($97,871.26)** would signal trend reversal.

This analysis follows **DS Strategy (SBD framework)** for technical execution. Traders should stay cautious and wait for confirmation before executing trades.

כתב ויתור

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