wave analysis, imbalance, swing structure, complex correction עבור COINBASE:BTCUSD מאת DumitruAntohi

I analyzed this movement a lot, reworked my technical analysis a lot all the waves fell very badly on the price, and the day before they wanted to completely deceive me with a sharp downward movement I had to redo everything.
as a result of many readings and comparative analyzes with other methods of technical analysis, I came to the conclusion - a symmetrical triangle as a continuation of the trend

הערה

הערה

I traded scalping and it was clearly visible that the price was kept in a certain range. robot

הערה

you don't have to look at the stop order. I do not use stop orders, only in the case when it is necessary to protect the transaction and it is in profit
with 5 leverage, my liquidation is at $150. I can be in a drawdown for a long time

הערה

I decided that this is a triangle and I intend to trade it further

הערה

6*3 is a triangle

הערה

false exit?

הערה

purchases after fixing above the level.
we have an imbalance

הערה

bullish

הערה

golden ratio 0.618 - 0.382

הערה

31459

הערה

order flow

הערה

everything will be decided there. you can’t sell, the whole chart is bullish
it's an old imbalance. will now remove liquidity there and should jump

הערה

30595 resistance

הערה

above the premium market area there is loot for the market maker

הערה

there are stop orders of traders who work on sales

הערה

wants to jump

הערה

it seems 34000

הערה

wave analysis, imbalance, swing structure, complex correction

need to get out of the price range

הערה

here's what I think about it.
today I was expecting this big move but instead I see a price correction and I began to gain a position to average it. I believe that the price is now in the fourth wave and this decline will be followed by a stronger momentum and no doubt with a higher high of the previous one.
I am very sure of this and not one indicator will convince me otherwise
this is the case when I, like a bull, rested on my conclusions and was not ready to deviate from my plan. I definitely use good risk management to be safe when the price goes lower than I expect

הערה

there will be reaccumulation. I was waiting for an upward momentum on the 14th, but I got a good price drop. well, to hell with it, instead of one impulse I will get 2 as a bonus
I averaged my position and it's not bad at all at the price of 30450 I will start to go positive. I can now lower the entry price even more, but I want to trade scalping, if the price goes much lower then I will enter the market with all the remaining money
growth will be we are pulling the bull by the balls for a long time

הערה

still early. Perhaps by the 18th the picture will become clearer

הערה

i'm an idiot. I knew it down to the cent

הערה

I worked on other technical analysis, although this analysis is more accurate. I just forgot about him

הערה

here where to poke your finger everywhere only purchase

הערה

there is a chance to jump up now

הערה

there is a chance to jump up now

הערה

the price holds and does not fall below the level
I think that testing the lower level will not work. these are my thoughts
I don't exclude anything but there is only long

הערה

anti-crisis option - buying a large volume to reduce the purchase price of an asset below the resistance line indicated on the chart and exit the position with a profit.

option 2 - placing a stop order in the profit zone to protect the position

option 3 - price makes a higher high which is more likely given the global uptrend
with subsequent long correction in flat form

my plan - I close scalping trades and average the buy price to current prices, then I put a stop order and wait for the outcome of events

הערה

my mid-term purchase price is now 30450

הערה

I forgot to add - I believe that the price will never return to these levels.
in this situation, it is similar to the formation of a new bitcoin bottom in future cycles. Large bitcoin holders are now taking coins from retailers and accumulating their positions. the Ripple situation tells me what i should think about manipulation

הערה

everything is confirmed after the completion of the correction and if the price consolidates above 32500

הערה

the trend is up, so only long

הערה

then there is a chance

הערה

goes up, 28000 should fall. from current prices or below target 32400

הערה

1 days

הערה

05 level testing
he said after all that there was nothing there and therefore there was no strong impulse

הערה

the price reacts to the near liquidity level, now due to the market maker's idiot we have to go to liquidity.
maybe this type is manipulating and preparing a purchase for news that nobody fucking needs

הערה

if a buyer does not appear here, then I believe that 27800 - 28000 will be. liquidity levels are only there

הערה

after the introduction of credit opportunities, technical analysis began to work well only in the sideways price movement in small time periods. such trips for liquidity do not allow building a plan. the best plan is when there is no plan

הערה

The main problem with this type of correction is that the range of fluctuations increases. A new high creates a false signal for growth, and a breakdown of the correction level at point A creates a false reference for a fall. Constructing a goal from a figure is problematic

הערה

but this triangle can lower the price to the level of 25000 - 24000
I think that if there is a fast unloading of the bearish divergence, then the price will not go below the trend line
it is not worth excluding the development of this graphic figure for a decrease. especially at this moment when the price touches level A inside this triangle. everything here is aimed at confusing the trader

הערה

this whole movement is capable of deceiving everyone. the only winning trade right now, in my opinion, is positional trading without leverage for the long term. I do not exclude my previous forecast, it was made on the basis of imbalance and according to the principle of WYKOFF reaccumulation. in this option, I will start trading and close the position in order to buy lower

הערה

I think I've been tricky with the price, but she might be tricking me. The main rule in this situation is to take into account the risk and not to use credit. if you trade with small deposits less than 500 - 1000000, then I would wait for this situation to be more understandable

הערה

my daytime observation

הערה

if this is the correct interpretation, then the correction is complete and a terrible bullish run is ahead.

הערה

this is a terrible chart.

הערה

this damn triangle wants to fool everyone - bears and bulls. gotta be very careful

הערה

we used the upside potential in this area, but did not reach the level of our order's high
I think the next shake will be touching and filling the next area for potential growth

הערה

if we look at the global graph then it looks like this. we have not reached the support line, but in this case the entire wave structure is canceled

הערה

bearish engulfing looks unconvincing

הערה

for a long time I did not go to a small time interval

הערה

if we take the wedge figure as a starting point, then we can measure the distance that the price must go to the level of 32234. I will start gaining a position from the level of 28400 and averaging. but you need to watch the price, because Wyckoff does not always work like clockwork
for reference i have a bullish imbalance structure where i set the liquidity level. I think that a couple more weeks and the decisive moment will come

הערה

the abc correction may look different, shorter than the one on the plan, then the price growth may start from the current levels

הערה

if this is the Adam and Eve pattern, then we have the opportunity to work out the wedge and the second zone for potential growth

הערה

frozen market. the only thing that makes me happy is low trading volumes

but I need even lower, trading volumes should fall below the floor

הערה

she won't fall again, these are my thoughts
this is a market, and in the market, breaking through the resistance line needs an impulse that means movement in any direction

הערה

I make a lot of mistakes, but when I study the chart so much, in addition to everything, there are many other things that prompt and give confidence. there is something else that is related to fundamental analysis, I will have to do that tomorrow.
according to the rules, the price should go from liquidity, but here someone has a different plan and I see it. quite recently, 600,000 bitcoins were bought at a price of 40,000 and it is obvious that this person is not going to sell even at 50,000. it was one person and these are his bitcoins, add to them bitcoins of exchange liquidity and ours, it is clear why the price has not removed any new low , but moved on

הערה

I forgot to put a mark at 30400 from which it is possible to open a short sell position
1 hour

הערה

when the histogram crosses the zero mark, this will mean a false breakout. if it doesn't, then the instrument will create a new low, which is unlikely

הערה

why I think it will be like this - the sp500 index drew a histogram and MACD lines similar to the weekly histogram on Bitcoin. i think that bitcoin will catch up with the 500 index and will follow its movement only with a significant delay

הערה

so what?

הערה

smart money concept

הערה

trading classic

הערה

if smart money is in the market, then they will unload the position there, the market maker will gain a sell position

הערה

low liquidity

הערה

this triangle wants to fool everyone
I'm already tired of him! it's like reversing the death road in Bolivia on a big passenger bus

הערה

there can be no talk of a global market reversal, and within the framework of a false breakdown, you can earn a little

הערה

now carefully. the price may go to the next mark, to the one that is higher than the previous one, and this movement may turn out to be the final one. until the color changes on the histogram, global changes should not be expected. I was expecting higher price points, but this is also not bad and means that the next purchase will be lower with the same goals

הערה

this deceptive movement still pushes me to the impulse that I was waiting for at the beginning

הערה

my technical analysis speaks of growth. maybe someone is waiting for some news again, so fundamental clues speak of growth.

הערה

today the histogram showed a bearish color on the daily time frame. bears are driving
decided to take a short position
switched to fucking futures

הערה

it was a discount market area. everything below level 05 is a buy zone. traders open their orders in the first zone of imbalance after level 05. these are the rules
given the context, I'm not sure if the growth will continue, most likely we will get a lateral movement

הערה

the market is still living its life, the histogram blinks, the 4 hour time interval shows growth, everything else shows nothing. I climbed into my notes and did not find where the record of such things was. when this happened in the market, what happened was what I circled on the chart, a short squeeze

unfortunately I again forgot how such things are defined

הערה

I don't like it when a couple of dollars don't reach the goal, I always think that it will get it later

הערה

can reach here. I have a feeling that it works out 135, after 4 the price goes into sideways movement from the dynamic line and with a smooth increase. but i think it's still too early for 135

הערה

I'm waiting for these levels, it pays off badly now

הערה

there is not much left

הערה

short

הערה

long and short

הערה

threw out all the ideas before that. wonderfully collected purchases and I look at the next new setup

הערה

I guess everything is the same with other prices

הערה

there is a line confirmation, now the exit is higher and on the second touch after the retest, you can set the goal that is indicated. My opinion is that the price will go up.

הערה

it's all in the trash again. many longs

הערה

I close this trade completely and leave the derivative account. now just shopping. but it's still early, everything fell below the target, the histogram still shows bears

הערה

in some places it was scary, but I understood that the trend was bearish. still managed to make some scalping trades on the spot account and half of the money there is stuck in bitcoin, but these are trifles, now we have to wait for a signal to reverse
I freed up a significant part for position averaging. the histogram should change color, and the lines should show a reversal in the daily time frame. the price may go even lower, I did not look at the levels, but not for long. so far I don’t find scalping deals here

הערה

all ideas on scalping yesterday shoved in the ass by a raccoon

הערה

three tap setup. in case prices go higher, these are control points. as practice shows, nothing works on a bearish trend, even the head and shoulders. but given the context of finding the price at the end of a bearish local trend, this idea can work out

הערה

great level up! it is clear that a large number of traders buy it back and the price goes against them. you need to wait until the stop orders start to work

הערה

it's unexpected, but nice discounts. I won’t even average, but withdraw it to my wallet, and I’ll start entering the market from this level

הערה

second bottom as a gift

הערה

I closed the deal early, so I'll sleep peacefully

הערה

somewhere I laid out a similar Wyckoff reaccumulation structure

הערה

barely found. I already forgot about it. there is a mistake here - my biased attitude towards imbalance and as a result I set the level indicated in the imbalance, but in the end the price falls much lower, but without violating the Wyckoff structure. I can't say anything right now. I leaf through my past ideas and remember what I was thinking at the moment

הערה

big purchases are underway. I don’t have any prerequisites for the entrance yet, but something will happen for sure. my forecast is 3 tops

this is what I see on the chart. m-shaped pattern is unlikely

הערה

until I buy all this

הערה

everything is right. traders who trade up to 1 week left the market, large capital is in accumulation and continues to accumulate an asset according to Glassnode, everything is just great. on the chart, I marked 3 goals that, in my opinion, we should get within a month. I definitely won’t set a time frame, but I’ll look at the histogram - 4 hours shows purchases, 1 day still doesn’t show anything, the lines are trashed. if you enter with an accumulation of up to 1 month, you can close your eyes and buy, but now I would like to place a limit order and see what happens in the area of the marked imbalance. I also determined the price range from which there will be an exit to the top and within which the price should move in the near future. I conclude that this decline is natural, many buyers and no sellers lead to such results. large stop orders provoked a chain reaction, this can be seen from the exchanges where there are large discrepancies in prices, it depended on the liquidity of the exchange and capitalization, if it were one big seller, then the price would fall evenly everywhere

הערה

in order to enter a trade safely, you need to wait for the color of the histogram to change on the daily time interval, just do not lose sight of the weekly histogram. now it all looks like a false breakdown, only anomalous based on the indicators. do not enter into a loan deal, avoid these resources like fire, it was designed for things like this, which is what caused such a fall. liquidation

הערה

28633

הערה

If I feel something is wrong, I will exit the deal.

הערה

this thing can throw us to a new bottom

הערה

if long money didn't come out this time, maybe they haven't entered yet?
then who buys this price cut?

הערה

secret

הערה

it's all the raccoon's fault
in any incomprehensible situation, go to sleep. the best plan when there is no plan

הערה

if the price moves one candle, it will be an amazing fact, but I think that we will cover both the bullish imbalance and this bearish one in this case. if we do not cover it with normal small movements, then the price will cover already three imbalances only with a downward movement. I do not consider an untraded imbalance to be closed. thus we have two imbalances at a time. today is a good day, candles change color to bullish, but the histogram is bearish and shows nothing

הערה

monthly timeframe shows reversal candlestick pattern

הערה

we have one non-closed imbalance 4h higher. I think until Tuesday the price will come there. but I also thought that the price would not fall below 28400, but it fell. We'll see

הערה

this is the first imbalance in the discount market zone of all this increase in price. from this area a reaction can come.
23065
I will not take a short position, as I am waiting for the zones to be worked out at levels 30-35000
then you can greet everyone who is waiting for a price around 12000
the beginning of the working week will give rise to new movements

הערה

the price is now in the local discount market and received a reaction from the imbalance zone and a block order, but given the context and the mood of the crowd, we are still standing still. if during these days the price stays here, then I expect growth from the current values

הערה

still heavy. credit fans will be liquidated yet

הערה

get ready to buy more
long

הערה

no one knows what my goal is, but there is a hint in the diary

הערה

he wants to grow a little now

הערה

bullish divergence
1 day - coming to an end
4 hours is over
3 hours is over
1 hour ended

הערה

false breakdown and reversal

הערה

it's all local

הערה

the histogram should not drop below the previous low, and the chart should update the low. then I will wait for local growth

הערה

I really don't like this shadow. some shit

הערה

This is how it should look like in the 4 hour time frame. if this happens on the daily chart, then this is a bullish divergence and you can expect a trend reversal. anything lower than a day is local

הערה

this chart shows long. I'm tired of them already, I always have to jump from one to another. good thing i bought everything

הערה

why do I need those snot, I like this chart better)
here even the figures look more beautiful

הערה

Those are the goals I mentioned earlier.
now I'll just wait

הערה

need to watch these levels

הערה

yes, the price can give two bearish divergences

הערה

it happens that way too.

הערה

in this case, the price will rewrite the previous high, which fits in with the Wyckoff structure

הערה

ambiguous market

הערה

here is a thing that can turn out, which I drew with an error
then correction

הערה

I was naive when I set the bottom value of the price to 27500))

הערה

*

הערה

this is what is happening now. this is a bearish sign, but the indicators show growth.

הערה

bearish trend will continue
issue will be decided today
price increase to local levels

הערה

I'll just watch to see how things unfold.
plan above

הערה

this is the reason for exiting the deal

הערה

got carried away. wanted to take a break from scalping trading

הערה

there is a possibility that the price will test the level of 29300

הערה

until the price updates the previous low, I think that the structure remains bearish

הערה

this growth occurred within the framework of this pattern 135, but I see that the price did not reach the point and a reaction resulted from an imbalance. everything that is not tested at point 135 remains for next time

הערה

5m time interval which I am not trading now. tired of scalping trading

I think that all patterns formed older than an hour will be worked out within the framework of bullish divergence on the daily time interval of the chart

הערה

I decided to look at the chart today. possible hidden bullish divergence
I don’t know how to explain that the price has been at the same place for a long time

הערה

According to Glassnod, the Bitcoin set is happening right now, if this is so, then such a damn stick could grow

הערה

at some point they will raise their hands and say that they have run out of bitcoins, then they will reach into the glass at the exchange

הערה

you need to watch when the color of the histogram changes and wait for the growth of the price of the right shoulder on the chart. I'm increasingly inclined to believe that it will be head and shoulders

הערה

1. slowing acceleration is not a sign of the end of a trend
2. process slowdown may be a sign only in certain phases of the process

the essence of divergence is a decrease in acceleration
several deceleration processes need to be monitored to determine the current trend
you can see how this or that action has a different distance for the development of events - on one chart the price can go to the goal in 1 week, while on another chart the price moves in 1 day

הערה

divergence in one phase of the market is not equal to divergence in another phase of the market

הערה

therefore, false divergences can occur due to many factors
1 sudden news risks
2 sudden news positive changes
3 presence of high demand
4 presence of high offer

הערה

I'm trying to figure out if this is a false divergence or not.

הערה

the same trend will continue, I don’t have the strength to take notes, my eyes hurt
most likely even the minimum will not be updated
I'll look at next week's news, I think it will be decisive

הערה

it's too early to buy

הערה

good sign, but not convincing

הערה

my purchases are here. if it goes higher then I have something to sell

הערה

I think this setup should work

הערה

as a result of this we will get double divergence on spot exchanges and one divergence on futures exchanges

הערה

then there will be a breakdown of the weekly hidden bullish divergence, which will mean a new cycle in which we should wait for a new setup

it just needs to not be overlooked.

הערה

when the exchange has money as a result of position liquidations, they want to spend it below the price level from which the money appears. Conclusion - it is possible that they will lower the price, the robot will buy and the price will go higher

if the price from this level goes closer to the initial one, I will go in with all my money

הערה

this will be a medium-term position for a month, but I won’t make any predictions; I’ll just get my benefit from it. At this point I will close this page so that I can start a new one. I still have to work on my mistakes

הערה

working on an upcoming idea

הערה

bearish

הערה

wave analysis, imbalance, swing structure, complex correction

כתב ויתור

כתב ויתור