Why it's too early to be bullish on Bitcoin

22 במרץ 2022

• BITCOIN TRADING IDEA.
  
  

Since 26th December 2021 we can see that Bitcoin has been trapped in what I call the falling wage pattern which is between 52k higher high and 32k lower low.

Technical analysis:
According to babypis, falling wedge can either be a reversal or continuation signal.

As a reversal signal, it is formed at a bottom of a downtrend, indicating that an uptrend would come next.

As a continuation signal, it is formed during an uptrend, implying that the upward price action would resume.

The wage trend line has flagged off several times and now is the 2nd time for the bulls to retaliate by driving the bears to the resistance side.
Now price action trapped the market in the middle. the bulls currently drive the trend to resistance line making it the 3rd time the resistance line would be tested which if the bears charges back, we would see the market much lower at the support at 36k

I won't be surprised if that Happens as we can see the H4 RSI showing over bought.

Moreso Horizontally zooming out, you can see the red rectangular shape showing that 51k and 39k has been an area of interest between the bulls and bears since July 30th even before the last 68k bull run. (After the first broke out in 2021 we saw an all time high and currently it's below the resistance line and the question is would we see another dipper market?.)

💡 Idea[/b]: Bitcoin is yet to close above the wage pattern trend line therefore I don't believe the Bitcoin bull run has commenced until H4 candle close above 46,700 and retest the the trend line while holding the bull motion.

Conclusion: if you believe that Bitcoin bull run has commenced, you can long it until another all time high is attained
But if you are a rational trader. You can wait until the trend line is broken, Then can ride from any side of the breakout.
How ever bear traders can open a position now at $42,940 and keep your sl at $43,670 which is 1.73% risk
Tp at $36,360 which is 15.27% Profit.

This is for educational purpose and not an investment advice.
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If you have a contrary opinion or another point of view I would be glad to hear it on the comment side.
Thanks