Weekly Analysis BTC via Ichimoku by TheSocialCryptoClub

10 באפר׳ 2022

Good weekend,

As usual, here is our analysis of the week looking at a glance at the daily chart of BINANCE:BTCUSDT using the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo indicator with traditional settings. We used additional indicators that we have developed and released Open Source, you can find them at the end of the analysis.

Trend:
The Kumo has been green for 19 days and the expansion is slightly decreasing (below 7%) but the uptrend sentiment of last week is no longer current, at least in the short term. A sideways bias is reinforced and there is no common agreement between the lines: indecision. We are back in the channel between two price structures and we are still approaching the Tenkan Weekly and moving away from the Kijun Weekly, where the sideways and downtrend sentiment remains.

The Kijun Trend indicator continues to indicate the search for long positions but the price has been below the Kijun for two candles and today it might return to indicate short positions.


Heikin-Ashi:
The Heikin-Ashi are always above the Kumo but they are always red since a week now and only today they present the maximum above the close, indicating a potential slowdown of the downtrend.


Supports and resistances:
- 75000.00 from Fibonacci
- 67000.00 from historical high
- 66001.41 from historical high of Chikou
- 51800.00-52600.00 from Ichimoku Flat/cusp areas of the Chikou
- 49000.00-51000.00 Fibonacci, Psychological Threshold and Kijun Weekly
- 44400.00-45600.00 by areas Ichimoku Flat/Chikou Cusps
- 40200.00-40800.00 from Ichimoku Flat/Chikou Cusp areas
- 30300.00 from Ichimoku Flat/Cuspid Chikou areas
- 37000.00 from Ichimoku Flat/Cuspid areas of Chikou
- 35000.00 from Ichimoku Flat/Cuspid areas of Chikou
- 33500.00 by Ichimoku Flat/Cuspid areas of Chikou

For the various static price structures it is possible to refer to the chart where the structures identified by the flat moments of Tenkan, Kijun, Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B on different timeframes are plotted, also Chikou price for the daily time frame.

Also, recall that the various Ichimoku lines serve as dynamic price structures: the Tenkan Sen (short term), the Kijun Sen (medium term) as well as the Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B (long term).

Fibonacci:
The Fibonacci levels still show us a long-term positive sentiment and puts the 0 on the upside at 75000.00. The price is back below the 0.618 level.

Conclusion:
The BTC has stopped its ascent and is now in a sideways moment and in the price channel between 44500.00 and 41000.00 approx., the Kijun Trend Indicator could return to indicate the short if the price does not touch even with a spike the Kijun. From a fundamental point of view we have the evolution of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict.

Furthermore, referring to the well-known exponential moving averages often used in the Crypto market on the 200, 50 and 20 periods, the price is on the 50 period.

It is important to evaluate the closing of the week and during the week on the following price structures, with emphasis on the sideways momentum:
- Bullish: 46100.00-49100.00
- Bearish: 44650.00-45563.00


Altcoin Cycle:
For Bitcoin Dominance and Altcoin Cycle we can consider the weekly variation:
- Total cryptocurrency market capital: Decreased
- BTC dominance: Decreased
- Price of BTC: Decreased
- Expectation of Alt cycle: Stable.

Thanks for your attention, happy to support the TradingView community.


Indicators used:
Analysis Tool

Kijun Trend Indicator

Ichimoku Support and Resistance

Chikou Support and Resistance