BTC at a Crossroads: Key Levels to Watch (95k–90k)
What Time Horizon is Most Relevant?
• Short-term (2H, 4H): A bearish bias is visible (MTTFI red), but sentiment indicators are low → This is the timeframe where one could attempt a scalp/swing rebound, provided a well-defined stop is placed below ~95k, for example. However, there is a high risk of being stopped out if the correction deepens.
• Medium-term (12H, 1D): Still in an uptrend. It’s better to wait for a clear pullback towards support levels (MTTI: Long Term ~93–94k on 12H, 95–98k zone on AVWAP) or for an invalidation signal (a clear break below 89–90k).
In practice, the wick below 95–96k or a break below 89k will be decisive. For a “safer” trade, many will wait for daily confirmation (e.g., a candlestick that strongly bounces above 95–96k) before positioning themselves.
Key Support & Resistance Levels
1. Supports
• 96k–98k: Support zone via Auto AVWAP (Low), short MA daily (~98.4k), and the baseline on 2H/4H.
• 89k–90k: Critical level; below this, a deeper correction could follow (70k…).
• Lower levels: 85k–80k, or even 73–75k (if a major liquidation event occurs).
2. Resistances
• 99k–100k: Includes long MA 2H (99.16k) & short MA 4H (~99.4k) → A challenging zone to break in the short term.
• 103–104k: HiAVWAP on 12H/1D. A breakout above this would confirm a new rally.
• 110–115k: Potential targets if the uptrend resumes.
Recommendations
1. General Convergence: The higher timeframes (12H, 1D) remain “bullish”; indicators are far from extreme overbought zones (ISPD < 0.97, RSI not too high). Therefore, a positive medium/long-term bias remains as long as 89–90k holds.
2. Short-term Divergence: The 2H/4H timeframes are under pressure (short MA < long MA). However, we see signs of “selling pressure exhaustion” (ISPD Div Pro < 0.3, Mason’s satisf ~0.20), suggesting a potential technical rebound if no major negative events (Trump, macroeconomic factors) emerge.
3. Strategy
• Intraday (2H/4H): Possible “buy the dip” around 95–96k, with a tight stop loss below this level (or below 89k for a wider stop). Beware of volatility risk if geopolitical tensions escalate.
• Swing / Position (12H/1D): Wait for confirmation of support in the 95–98k zone. If it holds and rebounds, target resistances at 99k and then 104k. Invalidation < 89k (deeper correction).
• Monitor news flow: Tweets or announcements from Trump regarding tariffs can cause BTC to move sharply at the end of the US trading session.
Conclusion
Cross-referencing technical analysis with current events confirms a key area of focus around 95–90k. Despite the overall uptrend in higher timeframes (12H/1D), the short-term outlook (2H/4H) remains uncertain. Low satisfaction signals suggest being cautious of a possible rebound, but a break below 89–90k would likely push BTC/USDT into a more prolonged correction. Therefore, prudent risk management is essential.
• Short-term (2H, 4H): A bearish bias is visible (MTTFI red), but sentiment indicators are low → This is the timeframe where one could attempt a scalp/swing rebound, provided a well-defined stop is placed below ~95k, for example. However, there is a high risk of being stopped out if the correction deepens.
• Medium-term (12H, 1D): Still in an uptrend. It’s better to wait for a clear pullback towards support levels (MTTI: Long Term ~93–94k on 12H, 95–98k zone on AVWAP) or for an invalidation signal (a clear break below 89–90k).
In practice, the wick below 95–96k or a break below 89k will be decisive. For a “safer” trade, many will wait for daily confirmation (e.g., a candlestick that strongly bounces above 95–96k) before positioning themselves.
Key Support & Resistance Levels
1. Supports
• 96k–98k: Support zone via Auto AVWAP (Low), short MA daily (~98.4k), and the baseline on 2H/4H.
• 89k–90k: Critical level; below this, a deeper correction could follow (70k…).
• Lower levels: 85k–80k, or even 73–75k (if a major liquidation event occurs).
2. Resistances
• 99k–100k: Includes long MA 2H (99.16k) & short MA 4H (~99.4k) → A challenging zone to break in the short term.
• 103–104k: HiAVWAP on 12H/1D. A breakout above this would confirm a new rally.
• 110–115k: Potential targets if the uptrend resumes.
Recommendations
1. General Convergence: The higher timeframes (12H, 1D) remain “bullish”; indicators are far from extreme overbought zones (ISPD < 0.97, RSI not too high). Therefore, a positive medium/long-term bias remains as long as 89–90k holds.
2. Short-term Divergence: The 2H/4H timeframes are under pressure (short MA < long MA). However, we see signs of “selling pressure exhaustion” (ISPD Div Pro < 0.3, Mason’s satisf ~0.20), suggesting a potential technical rebound if no major negative events (Trump, macroeconomic factors) emerge.
3. Strategy
• Intraday (2H/4H): Possible “buy the dip” around 95–96k, with a tight stop loss below this level (or below 89k for a wider stop). Beware of volatility risk if geopolitical tensions escalate.
• Swing / Position (12H/1D): Wait for confirmation of support in the 95–98k zone. If it holds and rebounds, target resistances at 99k and then 104k. Invalidation < 89k (deeper correction).
• Monitor news flow: Tweets or announcements from Trump regarding tariffs can cause BTC to move sharply at the end of the US trading session.
Conclusion
Cross-referencing technical analysis with current events confirms a key area of focus around 95–90k. Despite the overall uptrend in higher timeframes (12H/1D), the short-term outlook (2H/4H) remains uncertain. Low satisfaction signals suggest being cautious of a possible rebound, but a break below 89–90k would likely push BTC/USDT into a more prolonged correction. Therefore, prudent risk management is essential.
כתב ויתור
המידע והפרסומים אינם אמורים להיות, ואינם מהווים, עצות פיננסיות, השקעות, מסחר או סוגים אחרים של עצות או המלצות שסופקו או מאושרים על ידי TradingView. קרא עוד בתנאים וההגבלות.
כתב ויתור
המידע והפרסומים אינם אמורים להיות, ואינם מהווים, עצות פיננסיות, השקעות, מסחר או סוגים אחרים של עצות או המלצות שסופקו או מאושרים על ידי TradingView. קרא עוד בתנאים וההגבלות.