- The market has been registering lower highs and lows for 6 weeks ; the short-term trend was then bearish.
- During that period, the market has evolved inside a bearish wedge pattern, a configuration that usually appears at the end of a bearish trend. Indeed, this chart pattern is usually seen as the sign that sellers are becoming less and less powerful/numerous on the market, which tends to indicate a bullish reversal to come.
Very recently, we could have seen prices breaking-out of this bearish wedge pattern, confirming the bullish reversal scenario.
This move has also been supported by a bullish cross from both moving averages as well as the anticipated breakout on the RSI indicator.
- This is seen as a bullish reversal scenario, also supported by the prospect of a weaker US Dollar due to the incoming monetary easing cycle from the FED. The bearish wedge break-out has unlocked a new bullish potential towards $453.45, $466.15, $476.40, $486.65 and even above the $500 mark by extension.
Pierre Veyret, Technical Analyst at ActivTrades
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