ETHUSD 3rd time lucky?

ETH looking to break the long term downtrend for the 3rd time in 2 months. Will it be lucky this 3rd time? I think it might be, things are getting pretty tight with the two trend.
Entry: looking for ETH to break $253 and hold, need to also keep eye on what the SPX is doing and bitcoin could see a short squeeze.
Looking to see a break and run to around $300 for a new higher high and then substantial pullback to enter in a longer term position in anticipation for ETH 2.0 release.