ETHUSD retrace watch: Ethereum with unusual In-Phase Fibs

מעודכן
ETH surged higher than I expected, and of course came down hard.
The Impulse for wave up was quite obvious early on, and still in play.
The Drop also had an obvious Impulse that started at the top itself.

Notice how the Ripples of both Impulses are almost perfectly aligned.
We all remember graphs of Sine waves lining up In-Phase or Out-Phase.
These In-Phase waves should create strong boundaries and reflections.

Usually the fibs are not so similar in both Amplitude and Frequency.
This will be a great study of price action in a un-common situation.
In general I am expecting another leg down for an ABC correction.

There is a "Significant Chance" that retrace is already done.
The green 5.236 with red 6.618 was clearly a strong band.
The green 4.236 with red 7.618 stronger given previous highs.

All in all, $125 looks great on the chart, and sounds great on the tongue.
הערה
Expected leg down under way תמונת-בזק

Zooming in, this fib seems to fit, and seems to indicate 123.27 for possible end of this wave. תמונת-בזק
הערה
Correction: back to bigger picture, 121.75 looks like the next strong support תמונת-בזק
הערה
ETH still stuck between the fib rails תמונת-בזק and since most of them are doubled up from the two different fibs, the are quite hard to pierce in either direction.

Zooming in on the Red retrace Fib, we see that the 6.236 is currently trying to support the price תמונת-בזק

Zooming in further, we see how the Green and Red fib lines are competing for dominance תמונת-בזק Currently looks like Red fib might be asserting itself, which could indicate further push down.

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הערה
125 pretty important per fibs and psych number. תמונת-בזק If that breaks, then 122.5 next stop which better hold, or else 117 pretty soon after imo

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הערה
122 looks imminent per this micro-fib תמונת-בזק
הערה
Decent bounce off 7.236 of this micro fib תמונת-בזק

But still struggling to get back above the red 7.618 + green 4.236 confluence תמונת-בזק

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הערה
ETH has been fighting double fibs all the way תמונת-בזק Now in a gathering zone. Breakout either side could be violent.

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הערה
ETH short term fib of bounce תמונת-בזק

And there's our Confluence of 3's תמונת-בזק
138 gonna be a tough nut to crack ....

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הערה
Confined still by the Congruence of 3 תמונת-בזק

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הערה
And thus the power of a "Confluence of 2" תמונת-בזק

Zoomed in we see the continued struggle between green and red fibs for dominance תמונת-בזק or perhaps the 618's vs 236's, and I do find 618's to be more powerful in general

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הערה
Still trapped by the synchronous Fibs but with an IMPORTANT development: 135.7x-137.7x will be very important going forward תמונת-בזק all that Ping-Pong action has been re-enforcing each of these lines (in algos and humans alike)

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Closeup of the fibs shows relevance of each line as a separate but precise entity תמונת-בזק Thus the battle continues, neither Fib has dominance yet.

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FibonacciSupport and Resistance

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