JWagnerFXTrader

EURUSD Carves First 5 Wave Sequence Higher

FX:EURUSD   יורו / דולר אמריקאי
This is the preferred count I'm following for the EURUSD (for other possibilities, see the post from yesterday).

Today's high measures out beautifully for a 5 wave sequence with wave (i) as a leading diagonal.

-wave (iii) = 1.618 * wave (i)
-wave (v) = wave (i)

These are common relationships in a 5 wave sequence. We also have divergence on RSI which is common for 5th waves.

Now, since this move off the low appears to be a 5 wave affair, this narrows the possibilities down.

We are likely :
1) finishing the circle 'a' wave of a zig-zag
2) finishing the first wave of a larger zig-zag

Under both scenarios, look for a break of the 2-4 channel line and a dip to the 50-78% retracement level. If today's high stands, then we are talking a dip towards 1.10-1.11

Remember, Elliott Wave analysis is probabilistic, so we don't know for sure what the count is until the move is over. This simply represents the higher probability scenario in my opinion.

Other counts are available, I would be happy to see what count you are following off the lows.


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