EUR/USD: Bullish Retracement to the Key Level

EURUSD

Fundamental Analysis:
The U.S. economy is showing robust signs with a GDP growth rate of 2.2% and a low unemployment rate of 3.5%, both of which are bullish indicators for the dollar. Coupled with a high interest rate of 5.5%, the U.S. Dollar is likely to attract foreign capital, providing additional upward momentum. On the other hand, the Eurozone is grappling with a sluggish GDP growth rate of 0.1% and a higher unemployment rate of 6.4%, which are bearish indicators for the Euro. While the Eurozone's balance of trade surplus could offer some support to the Euro, it's unlikely to offset the negative impact of its weaker economic performance. Given these fundamentals, a long position in the U.S. Dollar against the Euro could be a strategic move.

Technical Analysis:
the EURUSD pair experienced significant bearish momentum last month, largely due to the U.S. Dollar's strength. However, the price found strong support at the 1.05 level. Based on this technical setup, I'm anticipating a short-term retracement to around the 1.07 area before the pair potentially resumes its bearish trend. This retracement level aligns with key Fibonacci levels and historical support-turned-resistance zones, making it a strategic target for a short-term long position.

Targets:1.06400, 1.06900

Overall View:

"Stay disciplined and patient"
"Keep analysis simple and concise"
"Have a risk management strategy"
"Trade with a clear mind"

הערה:

Possible Bullish Scenario

עסקה פעילה

הערה:

TP one almost reached

הערה:

you can have your free risk on this trade or secure the profits

עסקה סגורה: היעד הושג