ProfessorCEWard

๐Ÿ”ฅ EURUSD: SOMETHING TO CONSIDER ๐Ÿ”ฅ

ืฉื•ืจื˜
ProfessorCEWard ืžืขื•ื“ื›ืŸ   
FX:EURUSD   ื™ื•ืจื• / ื“ื•ืœืจ ืืžืจื™ืงืื™
High Time Frame Position Trading

1๏ธโƒฃ PA kissed the DZ @ 1.0205 and pierced below the 23.6% fib

2๏ธโƒฃ Based on the HTF 15W, PA has NOT opened/closed below Demand, and it created a DT formation before it retraced up

3๏ธโƒฃ Support has become Resistance @ 1.1215

4๏ธโƒฃ Support @ 0.9450 may cause another UT Retracement; however, I'm anticipating it won't hold so I'm calling it minor

5๏ธโƒฃ Since leaving the SZ @ 1.6038, PA has not returned to the CIC @ 0.8625 (15W) โ€” FXCM Chart

๐Ÿ”ฅ If the above is true, we are still in a ๐Ÿ“‰ BIG PICTURE DT ๐Ÿ“‰

๐Ÿ–ฅ January 3rd could be the catalyst of a long term DT for EURUSD to 0.8625

๐Ÿ”‘
CIC = CANDLESTICK IN CHARGE
DT = DOWNTREND
DZ = DEMAND ZONE
FIB = FIBONACCI
HTF = HIGH TIME FRAME
PA = PRICE ACTION
SZ = SUPPLY ZONE
ืขืกืงื” ืคืขื™ืœื”:
Curve Analysis: Exploiting the Uptrend Rebound Potential

1. ๐Ÿ“‰ Downtrend Context: The 1W timeframe paints a clear downtrend picture. However, this analysis focuses on a short-term buying opportunity amidst this more significant trend.

2. ๐Ÿ“ˆ Support Bounce: Price action has demonstrably reacted to the critical support level at 1.0800, suggesting a temporary upward correction potential.

3. ๐Ÿ“ˆ Retracement Pattern: We've identified a bullish retracement pattern emerging from the 1.0800 support. This pattern aligns with our anticipation of this level acting as a strong base for Support traders.

4. ๐Ÿ“ˆ BLO Execution: Capitalizing on our conviction, we strategically placed a Buy Limit Order (BLO) at 1.0800, which was successfully triggered, and as of now, the current net equity gain stands at +33 pips (+0.36%).

5. ๐Ÿ’ฐ Strategic Targets: Our Take Profit (TP) is strategically set for 1.1005, just below the key resistance level of 1.1008. If you risk going long, this exit price offers a favorable risk-reward ratio with a potential +205 pips (+1.90%) profit from our BLO that triggered.

6. ๐Ÿšซ Risk Management Strategy: To safeguard our profits and manage potential downside risk, we've implemented a manual TSL at 1.0826. This level aligns with a POC on the price chart, indicating historical price acceptance, and provides a buffer against any sudden reversals. This strategically secures our profitability while allowing for more upside capture.

7. โš ๏ธ Counter-Trend Trade: We acknowledge the counter-trend nature of this trade, which is suitable for experienced traders with a risk management framework in place.

7. ๐Ÿ‘€ Market Dynamics: Closely monitoring price action around the 1.1008 resistance is crucial. A clean breakโ€”opening/closing aboveโ€”could signify further upside potential, while a rejection might necessitate a sign that Price Action is returning to the downtrend.

8. โš ๏ธ Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Conduct your due diligence and trade responsibly.

Professor C. E. Ward

ืจืขื™ื•ื ื•ืช ืงืฉื•ืจื™ื

ื›ืชื‘ ื•ื™ืชื•ืจ

ื”ืžื™ื“ืข ื•ื”ืคืจืกื•ืžื™ื ืื™ื ื ืืžื•ืจื™ื ืœื”ื™ื•ืช, ื•ืื™ื ื ืžื”ื•ื•ื™ื, ืขืฆื•ืช ืคื™ื ื ืกื™ื•ืช, ื”ืฉืงืขื•ืช, ืžืกื—ืจ ืื• ืกื•ื’ื™ื ืื—ืจื™ื ืฉืœ ืขืฆื•ืช ืื• ื”ืžืœืฆื•ืช ืฉืกื•ืคืงื• ืื• ืžืื•ืฉืจื™ื ืขืœ ื™ื“ื™ TradingView. ืงืจื ืขื•ื“ ื‘ืชื ืื™ื ื•ื”ื”ื’ื‘ืœื•ืช.