Technical Analysis On the 4-hour timeframe, the EUR/USD pair has approached a significant support level at the base of its long-term ascending trendline, rekindling buying interest.
The recent breakout above the Ichimoku Kumo cloud signals an emerging bullish bias, which has encouraged further buying activity. The pair is currently testing the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of its prior bearish movement, which represents a critical hurdle for continued upward momentum.
A successful breach of this Fibonacci level could pave the way for an advance toward the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, located at 1.09317. Beyond this, subsequent resistance levels align with the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels, positioned at 1.09846 and 1.10374, respectively. Challenging these resistance zones would signal sustained bullish momentum.
Key Events to Monitor On Thursday, several critical economic releases are expected, including the weekly unemployment claims and the core PCE Price Index, the latter being the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge. Despite these releases, the market's primary focus will be on the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report due on Friday, which is anticipated to provide significant insights into the health of the U.S. labor market.
The NFP report will likely shape investor sentiment regarding the Fed's monetary policy direction, potentially influencing the U.S. dollar and, by extension, the EUR/USD exchange rate.
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