Short-term trend: The price is in a consolidation phase with a recent bounce off the lower Bollinger Band. This could indicate a potential short-term recovery, but confirmation is needed from price action in the next few days.
Long-term trend: Prior to the recent consolidation, the chart shows an uptrend starting from early January, peaking around July, followed by a pullback in August. The price has moved into a range, possibly reflecting uncertainty or a pause in the prior trend.
The price is now trading closer to the middle band (20-day moving average), suggesting equilibrium.
Resistance: Around 12,700, where the price previously peaked in mid-July. The upper Bollinger Band has also flattened in this region, indicating strong resistance.
Support: The price recently bounced off 12,200, a key support level that corresponds with the lower Bollinger Band and the consolidation range in August.
Bullish Case: If the price breaks above the recent high near 12,700 with strong volume, we could see a continuation of the uptrend towards the next target of 13,000.
Bearish Case: If the price fails to maintain support at 12,200, a further decline towards the psychological level of 12,000 is possible. The next significant support would be around 11,800.
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