Fundamental Backdrop 1. GBP inflation continues to remain elevated at 10.1% for the month of January. 2. BOE continues to take a hawkish stance and most recently raised rates by 50bps to 4.0% in its February meeting. 3. Inflation would need to make a marked fall for the BOE to revise its hawkish stance in the market. 4. BOJ continues to maintain its key short-term i/r at -0.1%, signifying the dovish stance in the market. 5. This wide interest rate differential continues to play a pivotal role in the appreciation of pound over the yen.
Technical Confluences 1. Price is currently flirting the H4 support level at 162.8. 2. Price has also retraced past the 50% in the fibonacci retracement. 3. Price is also resting on the Ichimoku cloud on the H4 timeframe and this serves as a dynamic support zone for price to continue higher as well.
Idea Looking for long positions on the GBPJPY for price to head up to tap into the HTF resistance at 166.04.
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