Pattern Formation: The GBP/USD pair is currently forming an Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern, which is a classic bullish reversal signal. This pattern indicates that the downtrend may be coming to an end, and we could see a potential upward movement upon confirmation.
Key Support and Rejection Level: The price has shown a strong rejection from a key Support level at 1.29050, which aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci Retracement level. This confluence strengthens the support, suggesting that the price has found a significant bottom at this level. The repeated rejections at this zone indicate buying pressure, supporting the potential bullish setup.
RSI Analysis: Upon analyzing the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour timeframe, there is a clear Bullish Divergence. While the price was forming lower lows, the RSI was forming higher lows. This divergence suggests a potential reversal in price, further validating our bullish outlook.
Entry Strategy: An entry is recommended upon the breakout of the Neckline at approximately 1.30020. For a more conservative approach, entering on a re-test of this level will provide additional confirmation of the breakout's validity.
Entry Point: Near 1.30020 Stop Loss: Near 1.29050 (below the support level)
Take Profit Levels: To maximize the potential profit while managing risk, the following take profit (TP) levels are suggested:
TP-1: 1.30990 TP-2: 1.31960 TP-3: 1.32930
Conclusion: The overall technical analysis indicates a potential bullish reversal for GBP/USD based on the Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern, support at 1.29050, 0.618 Fibonacci level, and bullish RSI divergence. An entry near 1.30020 with a stop loss at 1.29050 offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. The market should be closely monitored for a confirmed breakout or re-test at the neckline level. Recommendation: Watch for a clean breakout or re-test at 1.30020 for a potential bullish entry, and follow the risk management plan by placing the stop loss near 1.29050.
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