GBPUSD continues to fluctuate near the 1.2670 level, with recovery prospects overshadowed by a prevailing downtrend and key market dynamics.
Market Influences -UK Data: Weak retail sales and manufacturing output have weighed on GBP sentiment. Upcoming inflation or GDP data may trigger volatility but remain under bearish pressure. -Fed Policy: The Fed's hawkish stance and higher U.S. bond yields continue to strengthen the USD, limiting GBPUSD's recovery attempts. -Brexit & Politics: Ongoing uncertainty surrounding UK-EU trade relations exerts significant pressure on the pound.
Trend Analysis -Short-Term Outlook: The pair is trading within a descending channel, with modest recovery efforts from recent lows near 1.2600. -Key Resistance: The 1.2870–1.2910 zone remains critical; failure to break above this area could reinforce the bearish trend. -Downside Targets: Prolonged pressure may drive GBPUSD to retest the 1.2600 level, with potential extensions to 1.2500 if bearish momentum persists.
Outlook The bearish trend continues to dominate unless GBPUSD breaks above the resistance zone. Traders should monitor upcoming economic releases and shifts in risk sentiment to gauge the pair's direction.
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