Very mixed picture for GBP/USD with several unanswered questions. If 1.4436 is a lower top and we wont know this for a while then we can expect GBP to weaken at the start of the trading week. RSI on H4 is overbought and turning south so we can expect some movement south if only to ease o.b. conditions.
The question is how far will any retrace go? As long as we remain in the channel then I expect GBP to head south and look for support from the lower channel which will coincide with the 200 sma. If the channel holds then we can expect GBP to head much higher towards 1.50.
A break of the 200 sma and the lower channel would suggest the broader downtrend is resuming and we can expect a return to a sub 1.40 rate.
I expect GBP to head lower from these levels but find support for a push higher throughout next week.
Heavy news week, next week from Tuesday.