please note: This is a personal journal only, but NOT a trading suggestion.
Current price: 1774
===================Analysis=================
Yesterday, Gold moved exactly as planned. It rebounce to 1782 but then re-test 1775, then jump again to 1785 to finish wave-2.
Currently, gold is ranging between 1767 - 1784. A triangle consolidation pattern may happen here.
Due to the previous drop, I still think we are in the new cycle of bearish market, although a clear confirmation is yet to happen.
Even H4 closed as green, Gold is still facing a couple of resistence levels to resume the bullish trend.
Today's key levels:
key resitence:
1777
1775
key support:
1767
1760
Gold drops below 1767 will trigger a quick move to 1760, if it rises above 1777, then yesterday's high 1785 is achievable.
Gold drops below 1750 will trigger a very quick and strong drop to the target 1735 to complete wave 3.
Personally I would prefer to short at high price
So here are a few situations:
=================Possible Situation==========
No.1 Gold rise to resistence area, 1777, and then starts dropping again, but find support at 1767 area again.
No.2 Gold rises to resistence 1777 and drops and breaks 1767 with a strong move.
No.3 Gold rise above 1777, and test yesterday high.
my P.S:
I'm NOT trying to predict the market move. As a trader (not analyst), we need to know how to trade in different conditions, but not predict the conditions.
=================My Trading Plan===============
Sell limit : 1775 - 1777, SL 1780, TP 1767 1760.
Sell limit 2: 1785, sl 1790, tp 1760
Sell stop 1: 1765, TP 1760
Sell stop 2: 1760 TP 1735
Sell stop 3: 1749 TP 1735