As the safe-haven demand caused by the ongoing tensions in the Middle East pushed up the price of gold, coupled with the Federal Reserve's 50 basis point rate cut, the price of non-yielding gold has risen by more than 32% so far this year. The uncertainty of the US election has also stimulated the safe-haven demand for gold, as opinion polls show that the presidential election competition is still fierce. Despite the rise in the US dollar, the price of gold still rose. At the same time, the price of gold rebounded from the profit-taking trend last Friday and then rose slightly.
The high sideways trading of the daily line, the two consecutive positive rises of the weekly line and the upward support of the trend indicator MA moving average, so the overall trend is still bullish. In the European session last Friday, the bottom rebounded and the highest test was 2747.70. This morning, the price of gold continued to pull back and opened, increasing the intraday volatility. Combined with the strength of the recent retracement, it is difficult to have the momentum of a continuous and sharp decline. The intraday will continue to fluctuate.
1. There is only one negative line correction in the high consolidation process. This is also the reason why the gold price will not retrace for too long in the recent rising market, and the retracement strength is not strong and it is also consolidating near the high point, so it is expected to continue to rise and test the previous high point of 2758.40.
2. In the bull trend, the low point of the retracement last Friday was 2717, and the position of the previous retracement was supported many times at 2714, forming a double bottom pullback, so the lower low is moving up, and the upper high point of last Thursday was 2743. It closed at 2747 in the early morning of Saturday, breaking through the high point of the pullback after the decline last week. Although there was a negative line retracement this morning, it was more in the form of correction.
3. From the perspective of the overall correction strength, the space for gold price to retrace from 2605 to now is only between the golden section line of 382 and 236, and the correction space is very limited; in addition, although there are repetitiveness recently, it is still rising during the high-level consolidation process, the correction time is shortening, and the momentum to continue to test the new high is increasing.
Intraday thinking plan:
BUY:2715 SELL:2740