The Emperor's New Clothes

מעודכן
You don't need to believe in fairytales to realize that there are kings, queens and peasants.
As if not a single day has passed since the Medieval times. Poor get poorer, and rich get richer.

As the folklore said, the emperor decided that he needs new clothes.
And so he demanded from the entire kingdom that he finds the finest.

Two swindlers arrive at the capital city of an emperor who spends lavishly on clothing at the expense of state matters. Posing as weavers, they offer to supply him with magnificent clothes that are invisible to those who are stupid or incompetent.
Source: Wikipedia

And here we are. Looking at the magnificent clothes of the naked emperor.
תמונת-בזק

The emperor however is still an emperor, no matter what he wears.
And he gets to enjoy the fruit of his peasants' labor.
תמונת-בזק
Post 2020 profits for the naked few.

Until today, we are too smart not to see the clothes of the emperor.
No sane person can possibly call themselves incompetent.
The ghost of the emperor lives on...

...until one child realizes, that there are no clothes in the first place.
תמונת-בזק
We have reached the very last days of the emperor's dignity.

Trend change begins when only one changes direction. Others soon follow.
Volatility increases after a tiny "butterfly-event" causes one member to destabilize.

SPX Stability:
תמונת-בזק

Then volatility swallows everyone.
תמונת-בזק

Parasites have riddled the economy.
תמונת-בזק
There is only a limited amount of time for parasites to feast.
The time will come, when there will be no food left.
It is at that time when the real "fun" begins...

Tread lightly, for this is hallowed ground.
-Father Grigori
הערה
Regarding Apple:
תמונת-בזק

The mother of all-tech...
תמונת-בזק
...became the mother of all-bear.
הערה
The bear market we expect may never come, at least for the big guys.

First there were humans. Then there were banks.
Equities and humans need low yield rates to borrow cheap.
Banks need high yield rates to lend at a profit.

At this new environment of progressively higher yield rates, banks win.
תמונת-בזק
תמונת-בזק

And now, that big tech is actively investing into their own digital wallet, they become immune to crises like the ones the financial world faced.
After all, they win when most equities win, and when most equities lose. Win-Win.
הערה
Bitcoin up, AMD down.
תמונת-בזק
Or the other way around?
תמונת-בזק
הערה
SPX vs inflation is magic...
תמונת-בזק
תמונת-בזק
הערה
תמונת-בזק
תמונת-בזק
תמונת-בזק
הערה
תמונת-בזק
AAPLDJINASDAQ 100 CFDNDXESPX (S&P 500 Index)Trend Analysis

כתב ויתור