NIKKEI - Wave 5 - Elliott Wave

מעודכן
Wave 4, completed with Regular Flat, wave 5 started, aiming to 35000.
עסקה פעילה
Wave 1 within the final Wave 5 is now confirmed after breaking 32709 in the future. VI is up again today, promising signal too.
הערה
Wave 1 is always difficult to take, wait for the end of wave 2, ABC. Tomorrow is SQ in Japan. It will retrace soon or later ('price' retrace, rather than 'time' one). At least 50% of wave 1, at least... then it will form Impulse or diagonal.
הערה
Has the wave 2 ended at 61.8% retrace?
תמונת-בזק
עסקה פעילה
🎯 Target 34865 area
הערה
(i)-(ii)-i-ii structure.
תמונת-בזק
הערה
🚀 Hit "Boost" if you like this plan! 🙌
הערה
I've started noticing a glitch in my Monthly counts... still aiming for near 35k, but it will fail to go above 35k.

Revised wave counts coming after this plan works. Perhaps when next retrace happens, back to 31349 area...

Below, wrong counts, unrealistic wave (3) extension:
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הערה
About YCC, "discussed", not "decided" but this is how it went down... Tricky situation... at the moment. BUT nothing major in analysis last 6 hours.. it means rally back up?!? Watch out for BoJ announcement.
עסקה פעילה
Expanding Triangle completed after BoJ announcement, ending wave (ii).
תמונת-בזק
הערה
❗️ Today's sell creates 2 scenarios... Risky if 33055 fails:
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העסקה בוטלה באופן ידני
Bad news.. Fitch Ratings has downgraded US's long-term foreign currency debt rating.
הערה
Great escape yesterday as soon as I realised (a)(b)(c) because Nikkei closed below (a) at 32781. it was NOT (1)(2)(3)... This correction has not done yet, it's a larger Flat Regular pattern. New buy at 31500 (100% ext) or 31000 (127.2%). I prefer 31000 area as it's 38.2% retrace of wave iii (circle) if it gets there.

תמונת-בזק
הערה
Possible buys at these levels, TOPIX must complete its corrections too.

31506 (100% ext. & 31420 support)
31287 (weekly pivot)
31045/30968 (127.2% ext. 38.2% ret. and very technical!)
הפקודה בוטלה
הערה
One of my plans. That drop was probably 3 waves, not 5 waves, it means Diagonal or Triangle to finish 5-wave C wave of Flat Regular.
As Future made lower low, probably not a Triangle... so I'm expecting this idea, Contracting Diagonal 🤞 Let's see!

תמונת-בזק
הערה
... or it will just go straight down to 31000. Buying level 👍
עסקה סגורה: היעד הושג
Chart Patternsjapan225Nikkei 225 JPN225 CFDNikkei 225 CFDTrend AnalysisWave Analysis

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