16 Aug 2024 - Change in Stance to Bullish, Nifty up 174pts
Last week we discussed how Nifty was still in the bearish stronghold and then a break above 24389 was mandatory for a change in stance.
09 Aug 2024 - Nifty down 334pts, makes a 61.8%
This week, Nifty not only broke the 24389 ~ 61.8% retracement level but went ahead and broke the 24525 ~ 78.6% level too. This double break has prompted me to go bullish, but there is one catch - BankNifty is still flat though. The momentum has come from the IT sector this time.
On Friday, 16th alone - we had an intraday rally of 359pts ~ 1.49%. I thought the Monkey Pox (mpox) news might weigh in and the markets may remain flattish, but the rally still continues to amuse me.
Regarding the mpox, I was quite worried about the below article from WHO. How many of you think we may have another round of lockdown? This time the public may turn against the government for ruining their livelihood and enforcing vaccine mandates. Markets are not pricing in this news yet, or the news has probably not reached the threshold to create panic. I also feel the US markets may react first and then us.
"WHO Director-General declares mpox outbreak a public health emergency of international concern"
Nifty has managed to go up 174pts ~ 0.72% for this current week, the ATH is still 500pts away but the bullish momentum may help us close the gap. I personally feel we may not go higher than 24800 till the 22nd. Our stance is bullish.
09 Aug 2024 - Nifty down 334pts, makes a 61.8%
This week, Nifty not only broke the 24389 ~ 61.8% retracement level but went ahead and broke the 24525 ~ 78.6% level too. This double break has prompted me to go bullish, but there is one catch - BankNifty is still flat though. The momentum has come from the IT sector this time.
On Friday, 16th alone - we had an intraday rally of 359pts ~ 1.49%. I thought the Monkey Pox (mpox) news might weigh in and the markets may remain flattish, but the rally still continues to amuse me.
Regarding the mpox, I was quite worried about the below article from WHO. How many of you think we may have another round of lockdown? This time the public may turn against the government for ruining their livelihood and enforcing vaccine mandates. Markets are not pricing in this news yet, or the news has probably not reached the threshold to create panic. I also feel the US markets may react first and then us.
"WHO Director-General declares mpox outbreak a public health emergency of international concern"
Nifty has managed to go up 174pts ~ 0.72% for this current week, the ATH is still 500pts away but the bullish momentum may help us close the gap. I personally feel we may not go higher than 24800 till the 22nd. Our stance is bullish.
כתב ויתור
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