NASDAQ Analysis: Key Levels and Trading Opportunities 25.01.03

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Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Today, we’ll dive into a detailed analysis of the NASDAQ, starting with a review of the recent trading signals and results.

Briefing Results

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1. Sell Signal: Red Box Entry

Entry Trigger: During the Asian session, prior to the Hang Seng market opening, the NASDAQ broke below Tuesday’s low of 21177.
Result: Price quickly reached the target of 21128, delivering a clean, decisive trade.
Profit: $1,000 per contract for a 48-point range.

2. Buy Signal: Green Box Entry

Entry Trigger: During the transition between the Asian close and the European open, the price rebounded strongly, presenting a buy opportunity.
Result: The maximum profit for this trade was 133 points, or approximately $2,660 per contract.

3. Sell Signal: Light Blue Box Entry

Entry Trigger: During the U.S. session, the NASDAQ broke below the previous low of 21006. Although there was a notable rebound afterward, the price met its target.
Observation: The candlesticks showed significant lower wicks, indicating strong attempts to hold support.
Profit: $2,600 per contract for a 130-point range.

Total Briefing Results:
The maximum combined profit from these trades was $6,260 per contract, demonstrating the effectiveness of the strategy.

Daily Chart Analysis

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The price tested but failed to sustain inside the Ichimoku Cloud, confirming a rebound at the lower boundary.
The Lagging Span (Chikou Span) has now intersected with the candles, signaling a pivotal moment.
Key Watch Point: Whether the Lagging Span finds support at the candles or falls below them will be critical for determining the next directional move.

Trend and Market Structure

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The NASDAQ remains firmly within a descending channel.
A repeated pattern has emerged: modest gains during the Asian and European sessions, followed by a bearish reversal during the U.S. session.
Breakout Requirement: A breakout above the blue box at 21575 is essential for confirming a shift out of the current downtrend. Until this occurs, the channel’s movement will likely persist as the prevailing trend.

Buy Opportunities

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Recommended Entry:

A breakout above the black box zone and the horizontal resistance at 21360 is required for a valid buy signal.

Why This Zone Matters:

On the 4-hour chart, this level aligns with the 20 EMA, which has acted as a resistance during U.S. session pullbacks.
Breaking above this level would signal renewed bullish momentum.

TP: 21421 / 21456 / 21492 / 21523 / 21575

A move beyond 21575 would strongly indicate a potential trend reversal, providing room for further upside.

Sell Opportunities

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Recommended Entry:

A conservative sell entry would occur if the price breaks below 21120, a key support zone.

Reasoning:

The lack of clear support below this level increases the risk of rapid, one-way moves.
Observing how the price reacts to this zone will be critical for managing risk.

Targets:

Initial target: 20984 (yesterday’s low).
Below 20984: If this level fails, the downside potential becomes unpredictable and will depend on market momentum.

Conclusion

The NASDAQ is currently at a critical juncture, with clear opportunities for both bulls and bears:

For Buyers: Focus on breakouts above 21360 and 21575, as these levels are pivotal for a potential trend reversal.

For Sellers: Watch for breakdowns below 21120, with the potential for significant downside if 20984 is breached.

While the market remains volatile, patience and precision in executing trades at key levels will be essential for success. Let’s stay disciplined and take advantage of the opportunities the market provides. 🚀

כתב ויתור

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