NQ Targets (04-01-24)
מעודכן
NAZ near lower YTD Channel after struggling to get lower during lower volume Holiday week. Usually the next move is back up the entire distance of the multiple day decline and this is typically done in the off session (non Reg Session) over 1-2 days. A Gap up may show up on Sunday and if so, retest gap drop then up and away. Should that not play out and the NAZ heads south, use yellow arrows and TLX's below (red lines) as targets. Chart is general guide for April and not a typical daily forecast/post. BTD/FOMO Forever and Go Fed.
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O/N Update with expected Gap pop on Sunday, ML O/N is 530, KLOD 484. Look Long still as: Monday, New Month and Quarter and FOMO will be dominant.הערה
KL 592 rejected again, if you are watching. The KL 514 could not get passed all day Thursday, so they do it in the 1st off session. Look for 514 to be retested and even the Gap below. After may see a Dead Zone rally to the mid to upper channel. Out again this week, so limited updates.הערה
18530 ML O/N hit and slight bounce, watch the rotation around and NAZ to stay in O/N Range during Open. IDS27הערה
Today should be Long from ML O/N up, or 15800 zone. Or, Pop to 18600-25 with stall and lower retest at O/N low 18445. Pump/Dump is not playing out so the next trick is drop/pop with FOMO's at the Open. 1-way runner lower would just be insane and that should of happened months ago, why start now.הערה
Strong Support at 510, 495 and 485. Long on Hold and strong Short on drop below with not Pop back above.הערה
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470-80 to 560 retest 1stהערה
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ML O/N to 560 is TZהערה
560 hit and lets see the reaction , go flat or trail.הערה
Typical games and nothing has changed as of now. Air Balloon up unless you se the push/pull PAהערה
NAZ may stay inside O/N Range and churn around. Aimless with little strength in Reg Session and will need to go sideways until next O/N session or Short this.הערה
O/N continues to be the Boss, watch head fake longs todayהערה
VIX up 6%, what is that bout? That is big for today type days.הערה
Another try at 592, this has to be the 20thהערה
Back later, So far NAZ is playing out with Gap, Gap Fill and Pop. Opening statement from Saturday. Just watch the KL 592-514 range.הערה
May see decent sneak drop this morning as a drop test, under 18610הערה
560-610 may be clean out for dropהערה
592 rejected again, not sure why so many try's? Flat here and waiting, DZ may try again and actually get through. I think Powell is talking Wednesday so they may try drop offset or knee jerk FOMO Pop. GO Fed and FOMO Forever. הערה
514 Hit again, I am waiting for the NAZ to stop floating back up every time it falls.הערה
NAZ on the Edge and typical U Turn Zone should it not drop here.הערה
Above 18440 is U Turn Play back to 545 testהערה
Dollar Up, BCoin down, Vix Up and Crude Up , NAZ is Flat. RIGGEDהערה
O/N to the rescue as the sideways is most likelyהערה
Just watch 440הערה
Forgot, 10YNH lower (yield up), RIGGEDהערה
KLOD rejection may see this but unlikely with the Riggersהערה
NAZ will act normal and drop soon, prior to a retest higher and may try 592 again.הערה
A Flat to negative Monday should set up a Drop for next few days. O/N will really have to deliver tonight, if so. Go Long 1st move in O/N until near Open.הערה
4HR, NAZ on the edge/cliff. Still in Mod of SZ'sהערה
NAZ getting near its Viagra Time (O/N), starting to move up.הערה
Not Joking, and can happen in the Off Session. If not, take the stall out near 590 the other way. הערה
Thinking the O/N pop up may have 1-2 more shots and then the drug will loose its effect. Will need a Reg Session Viagra or mega dose (24 hour). Go Fed.הערה
The 440 hold did get as high as 515, for now. The jokes that I make regarding price action is based on the fact that the NAZ does trade with type very different types of PA based on the O/N or Reg Session. The O/N will lift while the Reg Session will usually sell off the O/N lift. Predictable pattern and just getting to be a joke (after 12-18 months or so).הערה
4/2 Update, NAZ out of Channel and NO O/N Prop Job, get Short. Yellow vertical arrow is your range for next few days. KLOD today is 18508, ML O/N is 475הערה
Today will be very interesting in Open Range (Reg Session), VIX up again, B Coin -5%, TSLA -1.6%, FNG1-.30%, 10YN been lower past 2 days, Dollar has been up, all LC Tech are in the red. May (or should) see 1 way runner lower and if not just BTD, FOMO to the moon as you just can't fight the Rig.הערה
IDS27, you can see that KL 440 is still being tested and holding, watch the KL.הערה
Just broke under, 18378 next test lowerהערה
18442 is blocking on way back up, 840-820 is range to watch and ML O/N for pop test and reaction. Back Later.הערה
375-395 may be a turn zone for pop back to 440-50הערה
NAZ out of channel and U-Turn could still happen with NAZ above 475. The U-Turns have been surprising and then run like crazy. No 475 pass and this may be the big drop or decent test lower day.הערה
SZ 288 next for bounceהערה
Lower target hit may come up some.הערה
Once again the majority of the move today was done in O/N and sideways in Reg Session. This is the case no matter what direction the O/N takes.הערה
NAZ has dropped 400 points in past 2 days and may go back up half way or 18400 levelהערה
Needs to pass 265-85 for pop throughהערה
Watch 340-80 as Turn Zone out of O/Rהערה
YTD 4HR, NAZ well outside the channel. May retest near for next signal or keep dropping near final hour for O/N lift.הערה
2 potential moves and the Long U-Turn would not surprise me with Powell talking tomorrow. Go Fed, AI, Stimulus trade, BTD, FOMO. Just watch the Long Side curve ball on this dip, may need one last pop flush out stall. הערה
1 Fed day pop takes 8 days to struggle to get back to starting point. Expect another 1-2 day pop or maybe this is the 960 retest. Look both ways is all I am saying. Danger Zone time. הערה
Extremely weak jerky PA on low volume, today is nothing and O/N will redirect this back up most likely.הערה
4/3 Update, 350-250 is range to watch. Go back to last weekly post and I mentioned that the NAZ would go up on low volume Holiday week and drop this week. Daily volume is 500-600k NQ Contracts, not low or high just average. The NAZ tends to go higher on low volume near key times such as O/N, Dead Zone start (9-10 am ct), last 10m of day. KLOD today is 18353 and ML O/N is 18300, yellow arrow is range for trades and use the Red TLX's for entry/targets. הערה
Mentioned 340-80 as TZ and NAZ has turned and dropped for near 100. time for sideways or redirect up or sideways and drop for 100. Just watch that pattern and use my KL's/TLX's. NAZ is popping off 18258, yesterday ML O/Rהערה
Back Later, Go Fed, Powell is to talk later and may give a comment that will at least create a wiggle or some good movement.הערה
IDS27, here are some moves to play, take trade based on reaction and let it go, then get out.הערה
285-95 looks like strong resistance and TLX 236 hold is a Long.הערה
Open Range unless ML O/N gets passed. Look at each KL and add 20-30 points for stop clean out and the set entry. Example KL 285 Short, Look to take short from 285-315. The extra 30 points is the clean out of stops above 285 and will look long but will snap once stops are cleaned out.הערה
315-20 NAZ may drop back הערה
This move here is set up for next move and a retest of both ranges. These can go either way and what to look for.הערה
2/20/24 call on 10YN, had a pop drop offset that may set up a drop. We will see. This would hurt stocks. הערה
320 clean out and drop, just a game.הערה
260 and above should retest 18300הערה
So far O/R holding true and looking up 1st, 260 is KL to watchהערה
Long from 236 to KLOD and beyond, BTD, FOMO, Go Fedהערה
4HR, watch 520 rejection or KL 590הערה
Trade TLX'sהערה
TLX Traderהערה
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Just watch Hook Short at 426 no passהערה
Go FED, we need the juice, Print moneyהערה
NAZ should drop when he is done talking, or BTD FOMO Up UPהערה
He needs to mention AI a few times or this may sink.הערה
426 Hook Short try #1הערה
White arrow is The Hookהערה
Someone just said AI, NAZ will not need the Viagra today.הערה
AI mentioned 3-4 times and no lift, go shortהערה
Fed Speech bookends, Today may be a drop offset or push back into the Channel.הערה
18404 is KL, long above and short below.הערה
404 is Mid of TLX 378 and 426הערה
At TLX 426 I am Flat, too long of period with no strength. FYI, many times this is a signal of pop to follow so do not follow me or place a stop under your long. May see curve ball drop as a surprise. Volume average, NAZ will need some tricks to get up.הערה
O/N has been lower to flat past 2 days and Dead Zone is not delivering today, this is a major change, just an FYI. Those two produced most of previous recent gains.הערה
Zero gas, this is very odd. Markets are just half dead unless there is money from the Fed or back stops, etc.הערה
403 test and wait on reactionהערה
Watch for negative Ticks and the NAZ lifting, that is a Head Fake signal.הערה
Ticks need to go positive and NAZ needs to pass 426הערה
403 pop to 426 is set up for next move, long or drop. Most likely at 2pm ctהערה
426 rejection is this under 403, this can go on for along time and then just wiggle stop you out and then go in your original direction.הערה
Tricks or bust for the NAZ. Looking tired.הערה
Go to 5M chart and watch lower lows of body and lower highs.הערה
Nasty and why I am flat. Pick your trading times well, many will just spin you all over as you get more confused. Low volume is helping this jerky PA. Back by the close.הערה
Hit KLODהערה
O/N will try to lift it.הערה
5M, just watch the bodies on this 2 way move.הערה
4/4 Update, O/N volume is lower than normal and chart is 4HR for today and Friday. Mentioned yesterday (when I went Flat at 426) that the NAZ would need some tricks to get higher. Then, the NAZ drop/tested to the white arrow (could be base retest) and in final 30M and O/N ran up 175 points. Chart below, today KLOD is 18357, Yellow vertical is range and white is Long zone, Friday is break out white or yellow arrows. I would think that the NAZ will try to get back in the YTD Channel with the typical Friday - Monday Long Trade. הערה
3 LC Tech that need to fall are AMZN, GOOG, NFLX. GOOG is lower today, should these 3 drop from current highs, we may see others start to lift up. This is how the NAZ is stabilized, we never see a straight flush and most likely will not.הערה
Yellow circle was an O/N failed auction lift and the yellow arrow the usual drop test to zone. הערה
545 is upper TZ and 403 is lower support, play the range. הערה
KL 18590 rejected the NAZ about 20 times, this is another retest and potential break though, review past few posts. This will be interesting and a major retest. During Reg Session is real and O/N is just a fake attempt.הערה
590 rejection would be a perfect Pump/Dump but unlikely as so many LC Tech are up, just hard to turn the ship and may take all day. 18455 is current ML O/Nהערה
Final 30M of yesterday close and O/N 220 point pop on lower than normal O/N volume. I would wait for a stall and retest of KL's and look short for Pull Back. Back after 1st 30m Open. Taking some Short at 540 will 100 point stop. 450 is scalp short target.הערה
Volume so light that I just do not trust any move and looking for some push/pull which we have not seen. If push/pull does show up, careful on any long until the machines are turned off.הערה
NAZ will need to get above O/N high and stay above. Usually will not and falls bock under eventually.הערה
4HR update, 545-590 sideways with drop test is play and weak pop is Push Pull time.הערה
What will happen is the O/N trade that many did miss will need to keep moving up or if no up it will drop back in O/N Range to retest and create some points and then make next move from there.הערה
TSLA is dropping and NAZ is stalling, watch yourself if long.הערה
Dead Zone magic up or Push Pull will come in heavy, I will move my Short stop to 18600הערה
Stop at 18560 and looking for NAZ to roll over in DZהערה
O/N continues to be the Boss and if you do not get in prior to Reg Session you have missed most of the moves. Sideways to nowhere and BTD FOMO, Go Fedהערה
Waiting on the Push/Pull and may happen under 540הערה
Some Machines are switching over and the battle begins. The entire range of 570-510 will be in play and I am moving stop to 18600הערה
Back later, rigged garbage is what this has become. The O/N is where you need to focus and less in Reg Session.הערה
Covered some at 490, 50 point runner, stop at 18560 nowהערה
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Should push pull not get crazy, switch to long as this will go sideways to up for O/N Liftהערה
490 hold is 590 retest, closing other shorts and waiting on Long signal.הערה
This has been the slowest PA I have ever seen. It is hard to trade SLOOOW PA. Slow, light volume and off session moves. These are all the hardest, weakest and rigged conditions. The fact that the NAZ usually lifts up in these conditions (primarily) is a huge signal.הערה
Should of stayed short, looks like pump/dump day. Just illegal.הערה
TLX 478 Long with stop under is play. Target 18510 and 18540הערה
FNG1 up 1%, NAZ should Popהערה
18509 hit and needs to pass, wait on adding to long and place stop at entry down here.הערה
Back later and flat here after a few scalps, just keep your eye on Failed Auction zone below as they usually come into play when the NAZ stalls or struggles. If hit, great Long Entry 18400הערה
518 is next KL to pass and stay aboveהערה
Earlier comment of "what will happen" is playing out and will continue as long as NAZ is under ML O/R. Play 18540-18460 until break out and stay out.הערה
540 hit and watch the Ticks now.הערה
NAZ is inside the Channel, the next move is out/rejection or Channel Top by Monday Close. That is how it is done and another U-Turn timed with the Friday-Monday Long Play. הערה
30M could produce an M, careful on Long in the Dead Zone at session High. Then again, BTD FOMO Forever with O/N lift to Mid Channel.הערה
M Formed and for Magic Rig stallהערה
540-460 is playing out, look for Break Out Stay Outהערה
May try FA Zone at 18400הערה
FA cleaned out and may pop back upהערה
KL 150 hit, may hold and retest 236הערה
NAZ got out of break out and did stay out. White dash is mid level of YTD range. 960 is the original Danger Zone that had some U Turns.הערה
Should of stayed full short from Open. O/N Pump Dump finally broke out with little Dead Zone magic lift or FOMO.הערה
KL's for O/N and morning. 150-960 should be range for next move.הערה
4/5 Update, NAZ did lift up to 18150 and chart below is drop/pop play at new release. Look Long on any hold as it is Friday. Only change is the chatter about mid-east and maybe holding over the weekend may be a concern. KLOD is 230 and ML O/N is 100. הערה
I adjusted the YTD channel as the lower end has dropped 200 points.הערה
Yesterday I mentioned the Push/Pull PA. It did show up and when you see it do not look long. It will end and the NAZ can lift and usually does. Prior to the drop, all was normal and then selling volume picked up.הערה
150-130 is range here and a drop below 130-20 may revisit 100 and O/N Low.הערה
Back later after the Jobs Number, just do not trust the O/N as it can easily set up the Pump/Dump. Need to see the big volume of Reg Session and if the Reg Session wants to take over being the Boss. Yesterday's big action could easily be followed by a bigger reaction today in the opposite direction. If not, then look for the push/pull.הערה
Updated YTD 4HR, New TLX at 18306, may be in play next few days.הערה
All world markets and indexes are lower and the O/N is up in US. This was the case all of 2022 when the NAZ was lower all year. Get use to it and watch the seesaw from O/N to Reg Session.הערה
Staying in the O/N Range, O/N may still be the Boss, we will see in Reg Session if 960 is attempted. הערה
Keep an eye on 10YNהערה
Mixed Signals as of now, drop/pop would be 1st choice at Open. Back later.הערה
Many of you that have been following me will understand the following: For months we have seen the O/N be in control and the Reg Session do very little, this is not normal. We may be seeing a change back to normal and if so the O/N will start selling as opposed to just lifting most Reg Session drops. Should this happen, the two may drop this quickly on heavy volume. If not, then BTD/FOMO is back on this decent drop.הערה
Watch 130, mentioned it earlier.הערה
18087 needs to holdהערה
KLOD hit and no pass go shortהערה
NAZ will play O/R and O/N levels. 18190 is O/N Top and KL here.הערה
190 held for scalp, here are your plays todayהערה
IDS27, take trades at TL hit and white bars are Long. So Far Longs are working until stall out or rejection. This may run until Tuesday as O/N appears to still be the Boss (unless the Reg Sessions sell off again).הערה
Back Later, Short under KLOD with stop above. This may go sideways all days and actually pop up by EOD.הערה
Typical Friday and PA, back to Channel.הערה
Sideways and then a 100 point move, not sure on direction at 360הערה
Hook Short potential at 360הערה
Upside down indicators, that usually is followed by drop in next day or so and not today. May see Failed Auctions all the way up. Nothing has changed.הערה
Unless NAZ sells off by close, it will just go back inside the channel and retest KL 590 again.הערה
409 spike may be drop test set up, target 306 on drop. Unlikely but what may happen.הערה
Trying and no pop will dropהערה
Long set up and no go is Short scalpהערה
378 rejection is hammer time, or not it is Friday. BTD FOMO, Go Fedהערה
Anyway, notice how today has zero push/pull as compared to yesterday. Need to see fast push/pull PA in order to support any short.הערה
Here you go, rejection at yesterday O/N low, needs to pass.הערה
Turtle Hammer, may bounce at that speedהערה
306 Bingo near may popהערה
Push Pull timeהערה
Have to scalp any short, NAZ will not stay down. Quick drop test did show up so look long on any lift.העסקה בוטלה באופן ידני
PA is insane, Flat and done for the day. Trade micros only, I trade 5-10 minis, too much heat.הערה
30M, looks like channel rejectedהערה
4HR above, not 30Mהערה
4/8, Out this week. Range for the day.הערה
10YN is moving lower, yields higher.הערה
100% Garbage, no strength so look for a pop up, stall and drop by next day or so.הערה
Just checked in and NAZ just can not break out of O/N Range, O/N continues to be the Boss. BCoin/TSLA will offset APPL/NVDA drop. Just wait for one side of boat day and get short.הערה
4/9 update, out this week. O/N Pump/Dump play may be at work, we will know at Reg Session Open Drive. O/N Volume is low and yesterday entire volume was off. The lower volume days tend to lift 1st then get followed with heavier selling volume. KLOD 18306 is retest and Long above and short below. Yellow arrow are general targets. הערה
FOMC Minutes are tomorrow so any strange lift may be just another drop offset. FYI, NAZ lost 37% in 2022 and gained 60% in 2023 to get back to even but the 2 year average is +11.5%. In 2024 we went about 11% above 2022 high and have dropped some since. 2 year dead money in my view. NAZ will have to break up or it will provide better returns on the short side should the PA be better at the prior KL's. Just careful with any chasing on the long side.הערה
17530 is Mid Level of YTD Range, KL to watch.הערה
KL 409 gives 2nd chance to get out at this level for the sellers, need to see if pump/dump plays out or sideways all day until close for O/N Lift play. O/N is still the Boss so watch O/N Range today.הערה
Just watch under 370 - 306 for break out. Reg Session is just powerless. Have a great day and will check back tomorrow.הערה
Rigged, NVDA is down 2.25%, Forget about IT.הערה
White is next or may retest 370.הערה
O/N Pump/Dump, again. The O/N has not had a Limit Down session since 2020 (Covid). Zero in the 2022 Bear year. We are due and if so, the O/N may reverse the typical magic lift or setting up Pump/dumps. Now watch the sister (Dead Zone) works its Long Only games. NAZ will need to bust out of this range to the upside or we are going lower in next few days.הערה
Here notice how the O/N lift and Dead Zone retracement back up puts the NAZ near flat on the day. This is the pattern that will need to break in order for a substantial drop to play out. Under KL 306 is a better Short at rejection.הערה
This should play out and if not BTD/FOMO back up.הערה
Just amazing slow PA with no real strength. I may suggest to not trade after 1st hour to 90 minutes and let the balance go. NAZ is stuck in O/N range after that period. This is why I am out this week.הערה
4/10, not trading just an update on chart. 300 point 3 minute drop to lower range.הערה
4HR Update on 4/1 Post Chart. KL 18054 is what to watch.הערה
4/12 Update, Not Trading just an update. Turn Zone is TLX 457 to KL 590. This YTD 4HR chart. הערה
Main TL Hitהערה
4/15 Weekly Range Forecast. Out again next week, buckle up under KL 18054.הערה
4/15 Update, Not Trading, just an update. NAZ near upper target (yellow arrow) and dropped back. If you are Long, use a parachute this week. Not sure what to make of PA recently, looks shaky. הערה
12:30 pm ct update, 4 HR Chartהערה
4/16 Update, Hopefully you had the parachute for the drop yesterday. Friday-Monday Long only pattern has broken down. 17500 is weekly low target and watch the Diablo's at every Open. Next change would be some lower moves in the O/N after the a few Reg Sessions confirm the selling PA.הערה
4/17 Chart Update. Still out - look long today. NAZ did usual O/N U-Turn set up signal at 1am, not sure if we hit 17550 today or this week should the Reg Session have some buying. For now 17750 - 18054 is range to watch. Open may retest O/N low and on hold look Long. If lift off and no retest, this can keep climbing and retest 18590.הערה
Another O/N Pump/Dump, get use to it. 750 retested.הערה
4/18 Update, NAZ is near white dash or mid YTD Range.
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