$NZDUSD Daily Head & Shoulders

7 בנוב׳ 2016

Daily head and shoulders currently trading around the height of the left shoulder.

Short 0.7298 Stop (Over Head) 0.7490 Target 0.6600

TECHNICAL:
- Head and Shoulders
- Rising Neckline
- Trading at height of left shoulder
- RSI (14) signalling diverging highs between left shoulder and right shoulder
- 61.8% Fib Retracement from Oct 13th Low
- 20MA under 50MA

FUNDAMENTAL:
- 8:00 AM GMT Nov 9th RBNZ Interest Rate Decision Consensus Rate Cut (Negative for NZD) (Adding to USD strength)
- Anticipated USD Rate Hike Dec 14th (Positive for USD) (Negative for NZDUSD)

I am anticipating a long term sell-off in NZDUSD based on the above information.

Near term target 0.7100 (Neckline) However it is quite possible RBNZ decide not to cut rates in which case this idea will be closed.

10 בנוב׳ 2016

עסקה פעילה

RBNZ cut interest rate 25bps to 1.75% trade is still valid.

fxstreet.com/news/rbnz-cuts-by-25bps-and-the-bird-rallies-to-test-07400-201611092024

11 בנוב׳ 2016

עסקה פעילה

Closed Half of position at 0.71211

17 בנוב׳ 2016

העסקה בוטלה באופן ידני

Out Flat 0.7102

Waiting for a pullback