Long term PRGS analysis

Long term PRGS analysis

Abstract:
Midterm short, mid-longterm long up to $61-$74 levels

PRGS has a very clearly printed correction wave that gives a solid base for a high probability long term analysis.
Wave analysis gives us powerful tools for direction and potential forecasting, but it is a probability forecast.
There are two options that can develop. Both have same direction and similar target levels, but a different path.

Option 1)
Impulse ending a cycle wave
started 02.2009
up to levels $61-74 (01.2021)
Confirmation: Clear breakthrough of $37 level
Rejection: Powerful bounce from levels around $37
Probability: 60%

Option 2)
An impulse ending an intermediate wave
started 10.2018
up to levels of $64 (04.2020)
Confirmation: Powerful bounce from levels around $37
Rejection: Clear breakthrough of $37 level
Probability:40%

As patterns develop and give more clues which option will follow, I will update the idea.
At levels $37, we will look fo:
1) price action, candle strength on dayly and 4H charts.
2) RSI and MACD divergence indicating bear weakness and potential reversal