Volatility 19 May 22 S&P500 and Nasdaq Index and ETF's

19 במאי 2022

ES SP500 Future 19 May 2022

Based on the HV measures from the last year candles our expected volatility for today is around 1.97%
However, in order to increase our accuracy I am going to use a 1.25x multiplier => 2.46%
This is translated into a movement from the current opening point of 95.32

With this information our top and bottom , with close to 84% probability for today are going to be
TOP 4013
BOT 3820




SPY 19 May 2022

Based on the HV measures from the last year candles our expected volatility for today is around 1.68%
However, in order to increase our accuracy I am going to use a 1.25x multiplier => 2.11%
This is translated into a movement from the current opening point of 6.6

With this information our top and bottom , with close to 88% probability for today are going to be
The calculations are in general made with the open daily candle. Since we dont have one currently, you can wait for the open candle
and add or rest 6.6 points to that in order to get the top/bottom channel




SPY SP500 ETF 19 May 2022

Based on the HV measures from the last year candles our expected volatility for today is around 1.68%
However, in order to increase our accuracy I am going to use a 1.25x multiplier => 2.11%
This is translated into a movement from the current opening point of 82.61

With this information our top and bottom , with close to 86% probability for today are going to be
The calculations are in general made with the open daily candle. Since we dont have one currently, you can wait for the open candle
and add or rest 82.61 points to that in order to get the top/bottom channel




QQQ Nasdaq ETF 19 May 2022
The current 2022 Volatility for NDX/NQ/QQQ is much higher and abnormal than the previous years.
For that as a precation I am going to take the initial base as a 1.25x multiplier .
Based on the HV measures from the last year candles our expected volatility for today is around 2.67%
However, in order to increase our accuracy I am going to use a 1.5x multiplier => 3.2%
This is translated into a movement from the current opening point of 9.32


With this information our top and bottom , with close to 90.5% probability for today are going to be
The calculations are in general made with the open daily candle. Since we dont have one currently, you can wait for the open candle
and add or rest 9.32 points to that in order to get the top/bottom channel





NQ Nasdaq Future 19 May 2022
The current 2022 Volatility for NDX/NQ/QQQ is much higher and abnormal than the previous years.
For that as a precation I am going to take the initial base as a 1.25x multiplier .
Based on the HV measures from the last year candles our expected volatility for today is around 2.67%
However, in order to increase our accuracy I am going to use a 1.5x multiplier => 3.2%
This is translated into a movement from the current opening point of 376.75

With this information our top and bottom , with close to 88.5% probability for today are going to be
TOP 12288
BOT 12224