Silver: History May Not Repeat, But it Rhymes
Gold (June) / Silver (July)
Gold, yesterday’s close: Settled at 2392.9, down 33.0
Silver, yesterday’s close: Settled at 31.496, down 0.582
The metals complex was bludgeoned yesterday and given the late session selling, settlement prices do not do it justice. While risk management becomes more important than ever during times of uncertainty, pullbacks or corrections can last longer than one is comfortable, it is also equally as crucial to back out of the forest to see the trees. It is a time like this that I am reminded that during Silver’s path to $50 in 2011, there were multiple corrections of $3 or more. In February 2011, Silver broke out above its December high of 31.27 and on the third session, stretched to a high of 34.33 before consolidating a day and plunging to a low of 31.69. There were four instances like this before Silver peaked at 49.82 on April 25, 2011.
Yes, our Bias remains more Bullish, and it becomes imperative for Silver to have a constructive path and hold out above our two waves of rare major four-star support. The first aligns the April high with the .382 retracement back to the May low at 30.19-30.27. Last night’s low was 30.36. In the case of additional pressures, we will look to a critical area at 29.50-29.72. If that is surrendered, the bigger broader narrative is bending.
Bias: Bullish/Neutral
Resistance: 2375.2-2377.8**, 2385.3***, 2389.6-2392.9***, 2398.9-2400**, 2408**, 2416.2-2417.4***
Pivot: 2369.7-2370.6
Support: 2356.8-2360.2**, 2349.8**, 2340.3-2343***, 2322.5-2325.1***
Silver (July)
Resistance: 31.18***, 31.28-31.32**, 31.50-31.61***
Pivot: 30.91-30.96
Support: 30.63-30.73**, 30.36-30.43**, 30.19-30.27****, 29.50-29.72****
*Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services.
Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Gold, yesterday’s close: Settled at 2392.9, down 33.0
Silver, yesterday’s close: Settled at 31.496, down 0.582
The metals complex was bludgeoned yesterday and given the late session selling, settlement prices do not do it justice. While risk management becomes more important than ever during times of uncertainty, pullbacks or corrections can last longer than one is comfortable, it is also equally as crucial to back out of the forest to see the trees. It is a time like this that I am reminded that during Silver’s path to $50 in 2011, there were multiple corrections of $3 or more. In February 2011, Silver broke out above its December high of 31.27 and on the third session, stretched to a high of 34.33 before consolidating a day and plunging to a low of 31.69. There were four instances like this before Silver peaked at 49.82 on April 25, 2011.
Yes, our Bias remains more Bullish, and it becomes imperative for Silver to have a constructive path and hold out above our two waves of rare major four-star support. The first aligns the April high with the .382 retracement back to the May low at 30.19-30.27. Last night’s low was 30.36. In the case of additional pressures, we will look to a critical area at 29.50-29.72. If that is surrendered, the bigger broader narrative is bending.
Bias: Bullish/Neutral
Resistance: 2375.2-2377.8**, 2385.3***, 2389.6-2392.9***, 2398.9-2400**, 2408**, 2416.2-2417.4***
Pivot: 2369.7-2370.6
Support: 2356.8-2360.2**, 2349.8**, 2340.3-2343***, 2322.5-2325.1***
Silver (July)
Resistance: 31.18***, 31.28-31.32**, 31.50-31.61***
Pivot: 30.91-30.96
Support: 30.63-30.73**, 30.36-30.43**, 30.19-30.27****, 29.50-29.72****
*Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services.
Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
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