6/28/24 - $smr - short >$11
מעודכן
let's be clear - i want nuclear/ esp the mini reactor-tech to succeed
but there's a difference btwn stonks and reality, sometimes. and this difference can persist for some time. the stronger the meme the stronger the stick.
and while my preferred way to play nuclear is
SRUUF - the physical uranium - bc lets be honest i am not housing that lol. it's going into all of these products, large to mini scale, or will be very correlated to the success of the industry. the margin of safety is massively better as well when considering the valuation of some of these plays.
NNE - go read it - fine to trade it - but you better have a killer entry to feel comfortable holding (you know who you are)
SMR - did you see last quarter? this thing will trade at 100x SALES. mmhmm. honestly guys, it just comes down to math sometimes. i can't guarantee anything in the world we live in, but i'd guess there's a 95%+ chance in the coming year you'll see this stonk a lot cheaper.
does it go higher in the meanwhile? honestly idk.
nobody is going to take this out at a 3 bn valuation. i guess i should never say never about anything. but i'd say the probability is very (very very) low.
so just be careful here.
it's a hedge for me, to be sure against my sruuf.
but this valuation is borderline hilarious. and nuclear isn't a meme yet.
just be careful at a minimum, k?
V
but there's a difference btwn stonks and reality, sometimes. and this difference can persist for some time. the stronger the meme the stronger the stick.
and while my preferred way to play nuclear is
SRUUF - the physical uranium - bc lets be honest i am not housing that lol. it's going into all of these products, large to mini scale, or will be very correlated to the success of the industry. the margin of safety is massively better as well when considering the valuation of some of these plays.NNE - go read it - fine to trade it - but you better have a killer entry to feel comfortable holding (you know who you are)SMR - did you see last quarter? this thing will trade at 100x SALES. mmhmm. honestly guys, it just comes down to math sometimes. i can't guarantee anything in the world we live in, but i'd guess there's a 95%+ chance in the coming year you'll see this stonk a lot cheaper. does it go higher in the meanwhile? honestly idk.
nobody is going to take this out at a 3 bn valuation. i guess i should never say never about anything. but i'd say the probability is very (very very) low.
so just be careful here.
it's a hedge for me, to be sure against my sruuf.
but this valuation is borderline hilarious. and nuclear isn't a meme yet.
just be careful at a minimum, k?
V
הערה
Stonk at $14.5 as of this morning (a beneficiary of my 
IWM leveraged call before the move started pre CPI lol). bot some 7/19 13P's as a hedge to my superior small cap portfolio. idk what happens next but if we get a pullback or if gamma starts to leak... this thing not gonna stick. let me be clear, it's just a hedge. but fundamentally we r in territory that i challenge anyone who disagrees to justify. i'm all ears and would be open to changing my view. lmk
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