מדד S&P 500
לונג
מעודכן

Go Long King Kong! $SPY Bull

1505
World of uncertainty - entire world of it
  • China tariffs talks continue to drag on
  • Brexit
  • Germany - growth slowing
  • Japan - growth slowing & currency problems
  • PMI - slowing rate of growth
  • Car delinquencies on the rise
  • NK progress, lack of progress, progress
  • ....never ends


The market absorbs this news & the equities market continues to rise - this is a raging bull folks. Let's get to my fav's of TA

Moving averages are very bullish

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Long term resistance has been broken & is the new day's support

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Love these Kagi views as I view it as an indicator of the short term trend

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For those that also love statistics - we see here it is moving a full standard away from the mean

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Weekly appears very bullish
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The weekly STOCH & MACD have proved that they can camp at these elevated levels for a full week or two longer

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As for the dollar - I have no idea at the moment. I started the year thinking it would drop 300-400 basis points by end of the first quarter. All the talking heads on Bloomberg are now calling for a stronger dollar, and I see the logic. However, I feel it would make sense for the Trump administration to seek to willfully devalue the dollar as this would make our exports cheaper for other countries & our imports more expensive. This would also lead most people to believe there is excessive wage growth in terms of dollars which would aid in the upcoming election.

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If the FOMC meeting this week results in the market continuing to rally - I will remain long, however if the market immediately moves sideways or down I will keep my puts and remain tight.

The market did not retrace - amazing. Patterns are not right 100% of the time. We learn and we smile.

For now I have reopened a straddle heavier on calls with the puts along as a hedge - how are they a hedge? -Just got extra leverage in them.

Please share, and let others know where you think this thing is heading next:
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עסקה פעילה
Trade still active. Acquired additional calls
עסקה סגורה: היעד הושג
Up 22% - not bad. :)

Trade closed will evaluate again for entry later this weekend if I get a chance.

כתב ויתור

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