ArthaVidya

SPX Bounce - High Octane Speculation

לונג
ArthaVidya מעודכן   
SP:SPX   מדד S&P 500
DSIs all at extreme lows (5) with VIX DSI at extreme high (96).

Put/Call ratio at ATH (with the data available).

Cumulative distribution is extremely low, similar to 2002 and 2008. In both cases the SP rallied around 20% in 6 weeks or less.

SPX down >7% just this week with 490 of the components down.

Demark countdown exhaustions flashing in indexes 4h/3h/2h/1h time frames. Also daily in sensitive assets like crude (WTI/BRENT) and a lot of single stocks.

RSI formed positive divergence and bullish patterns in most time frames.

At the low end of the current downwards channel, and seems to be forming a bullish broadening wedge.

Current decline levels of support/resistance fit very well with most fib retracement levels from October's highs if it were to reverse here.

If the preferred path of recovery was to manifest, it would rally ~17% until the end of January.

The path is highly speculative, but I think there's a good R/R here.
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