S&P 500 Index
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Bold Prediction

In line with Yardeni, this also predicts ~4350 fail.

The 1/e decay is set to a 200d window. Decaylines are respected. So are regression channels.

It would seem that the fall would start around December 22, 2022 and end late February.

Time will tell if this is realized.

Thick blue is Kalman Smoother, thin blue is Kalman Filter.
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