SPX Roadmap Sep 2023
מעודכן
To get some panic going, market will most likely break the most obvious level of 4275 and spike the 200dma...
הערה
And the 4275 got spiked yesterdayהערה
So the low on Oct 4 was likely the low although there is a bit of a danger period post Oct OPEX. Lets see whether SPX retraces to 4300 next few daysהערה
Next week will be crucial. It will be preferable to have a spike down Monday/Tuesday to below 200dma into 4125/4185 range and reversal from thereהערה
Below these levels and that likely confirms the late July top as a B wave topהערה
If this undershoots, say makes a large wick and reverses up, most likely will be in the low 4000s, say 4020/4060 into late Oct/early Nov. BOJ and Fed meetingsהערה
Today low looks a bit high, could be one more lower lowהערה
Overnight, the min target levels have been reached. The yearly bull trend is around 4020 plus FIB retraces at around 4040, so that will be reasonable on more downside. Will not surprise me if 4020 gets taggedהערה
Getting thereהערה
What a rebound from the expected levels. Algos do not sleepהערה
V shape cupהערה
The speed of recovery surprises me a bitהערה
1Q24 support is 4415/4500 and very likely will get tested in March if not earlier
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