๐๐1929-2029: Fibonacci, Macro Economic Cycles & Black Swans๐
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100 Years of near Perfect Fibonacci Alignments!!
In this analysis, I looked at 2 Trend Based Fibonacci Time Extensions Layered over an Inverse Fibonacci Retracement starting in 1929 and ending in 2027
Observations:
1. There is a 100% chance a break of a Time FIB & Inverse Retracement FIB together result in a recession, and that the Inverse Retracement FIB acts as a resistance flipped support for the next period of growth
- See (Fig 1.1 Recession) & (Fig 1.2 Recession)
2. There is a 82% chance that a Time FIB will precisely match a market correction
- See 14/17 Time FIBs
3. This raises to 94% chance if you include the 2 delayed ones
- See (Fig 3.1 Time FIB A: 1.0) & (Fig 3.2 Time FIB B: 1.0)
3. At a minimum, there is a 76% chance any correction will align to a Time FIB
- See 16/21 corrections
4. September 2027 is a key alignment of;
a. Time FIB B: 3.0
b. Inverse Retracement FIB 4.236
- See (Fig 4.1)
Conclusion:
Significant chance 2027 will see a major correction, followed by recession through 2029 into 2030s
Note : the Trend-based Time FIB Extensions are based off the following points;
Point 1: Last ATH succeeded by significant Lower Low
- Time FIB A: 1880 / Time FIB B: 1929
Point 2: Breakout point of Last ATH to next ATH
- Time FIB A: 1899 / Time FIB B: 1954
Point 3: Next ATH succeeded by significant Lower Low
- Time FIB A: 1929 / Time FIB B: 1969
yemala
In this analysis, I looked at 2 Trend Based Fibonacci Time Extensions Layered over an Inverse Fibonacci Retracement starting in 1929 and ending in 2027
Observations:
1. There is a 100% chance a break of a Time FIB & Inverse Retracement FIB together result in a recession, and that the Inverse Retracement FIB acts as a resistance flipped support for the next period of growth
- See (Fig 1.1 Recession) & (Fig 1.2 Recession)
2. There is a 82% chance that a Time FIB will precisely match a market correction
- See 14/17 Time FIBs
3. This raises to 94% chance if you include the 2 delayed ones
- See (Fig 3.1 Time FIB A: 1.0) & (Fig 3.2 Time FIB B: 1.0)
3. At a minimum, there is a 76% chance any correction will align to a Time FIB
- See 16/21 corrections
4. September 2027 is a key alignment of;
a. Time FIB B: 3.0
b. Inverse Retracement FIB 4.236
- See (Fig 4.1)
Conclusion:
Significant chance 2027 will see a major correction, followed by recession through 2029 into 2030s
Note : the Trend-based Time FIB Extensions are based off the following points;
Point 1: Last ATH succeeded by significant Lower Low
- Time FIB A: 1880 / Time FIB B: 1929
Point 2: Breakout point of Last ATH to next ATH
- Time FIB A: 1899 / Time FIB B: 1954
Point 3: Next ATH succeeded by significant Lower Low
- Time FIB A: 1929 / Time FIB B: 1969
- What are your thoughts?
yemala
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*Correction to Observation 3!! - the 2nd delayed Time FIB is Time FIB 1.0 (not 2.0),1.0 is actually the same as the delayed Time FIB as delayed Time FIB A, which was also 1.0! Freaky :D
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