Tesla
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Tesla on queue for its next breakout

מאת ‎Lanmar‎
מעודכן
Some things I've learned over the years:

1) Being too skeptical prevents you from generating big returns.
2) Do not doubt how long a strong trend could last.
3) It's in your best interest to be optimistic about the future.


One point as it relates to the Tesla controversy - I have ZERO interest in being skeptical of an uptrend. If the chart is in a downtrend I'll happily join the dark side.

Here's my last long term analysis on TSLA (before the split):
My interpretation of Tesla: STILL REMAINS IN A BUY ZONE


Notice NIO's price action recently has been similar:
Update on NIO: Trading in a bullish channel - breakout yesterday


Last point as it related to the Tesla controversy - I have ZERO interest in being skeptical of an uptrend. If the chart is in a downtrend, the I'll happily join the dark side.
הערה
I view the lower trendline I drew as unreliable and have adjusted it (see below). I went long last week at 435 just before it hit 450, and got stopped at breakeven. I am now monitoring for a re-entry but waiting for price to at least get above the 21d MA on the daily chart and get tight above it.
תמונת-בזק
הערה
Today will probably be my second best trading day of the year. I went long a nice chunk of the December 4th 420 calls just before the market closed.
תמונת-בזק

The market has been very challenging in the last few months. I don't want to make it look like I print money and avoid losses. I had 2 losses in Tesla before this one. One was a breakeven (435 -> 450 -> 435), the other was a .5% on capital loss (414 -> 4010). I've had some other losses that I haven't published either. A lot of paper cuts could add up. If this is happening to you in a choppy market, the best way to solve or improve this problem is by increasing your time frame/widening your stops/betting a lot less. The good news is huge winners compensate for a lot of paper cuts very quickly.

If Tesla trades above $460 today I will be up about ~15% on capital in a single trading day. For context, I am usually +/- .5% -> 1% on an average day.
הערה
Took full profit on my options just before the market closed. Didn't like the way Nasdaq and S&P were sliding down.

Today was my best trading day of the year.
I bought the 420 calls (dec 4th) at $13 per contract. I sold all at $71 per contract.

Well positioned options can be extremely rewarding if timed well.
Chart PatternsTrend AnalysisTesla Motors (TSLA)Wave Analysis

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