US100: Weekly Bullish, Short-Term Bearish—Two Key Scenarios
The US100 (Nasdaq) remains bullish on the higher (Weekly/Daily) timeframes, but short-term (4H/2H) indicators suggest a correction or pullback. This creates a split bias: either the market finds support and resumes the uptrend, or it breaks key levels and continues lower.
• Support Zones:
• 21,580–21,400 (immediate short-term supports)
• 21,200–21,000 (major daily support, 100 SMA area)
• Weekly Support extends down to ~19,500–21,000 on deeper pullbacks
• Resistance Zones:
• 21,900–22,000 (key intraday resistance + pivot)
• 22,200–22,300 (recent peak & bearish order block)
Scenarios
• Scenario A (Bullish Continuation)
• Look for price to hold 21,580–21,400 support and reclaim ~21,700–21,800 on higher timeframes.
• Aggressive traders may front-run a bounce near 21,580 (tight stops below 21,530).
• Conservative traders might wait for a Daily close above ~21,900 with momentum (RSI >50, bullish MACD).
• Invalidation: A daily close below ~21,000 could trigger further downside.
• Scenario B (Bearish Reversal / Deeper Correction)
• If price fails at 21,700–21,900 or breaks below 21,580 decisively, watch for a move to 21,400 or even 21,000.
• Aggressive shorts may enter on a retest of 21,700–21,800 (broken support → resistance) or a clean break below 21,580.
• More conservative bears might wait for a Daily close under 21,000–21,200 and a confirmed downtrend on momentum indicators.
• Invalidation: A strong 4H close back above 21,900–22,000 would weaken the bearish case.
Risk Management / Disclaimer
Use stops, manage position sizes, and monitor macro news. This post is for educational purposes only—not financial advice.
• Support Zones:
• 21,580–21,400 (immediate short-term supports)
• 21,200–21,000 (major daily support, 100 SMA area)
• Weekly Support extends down to ~19,500–21,000 on deeper pullbacks
• Resistance Zones:
• 21,900–22,000 (key intraday resistance + pivot)
• 22,200–22,300 (recent peak & bearish order block)
Scenarios
• Scenario A (Bullish Continuation)
• Look for price to hold 21,580–21,400 support and reclaim ~21,700–21,800 on higher timeframes.
• Aggressive traders may front-run a bounce near 21,580 (tight stops below 21,530).
• Conservative traders might wait for a Daily close above ~21,900 with momentum (RSI >50, bullish MACD).
• Invalidation: A daily close below ~21,000 could trigger further downside.
• Scenario B (Bearish Reversal / Deeper Correction)
• If price fails at 21,700–21,900 or breaks below 21,580 decisively, watch for a move to 21,400 or even 21,000.
• Aggressive shorts may enter on a retest of 21,700–21,800 (broken support → resistance) or a clean break below 21,580.
• More conservative bears might wait for a Daily close under 21,000–21,200 and a confirmed downtrend on momentum indicators.
• Invalidation: A strong 4H close back above 21,900–22,000 would weaken the bearish case.
Risk Management / Disclaimer
Use stops, manage position sizes, and monitor macro news. This post is for educational purposes only—not financial advice.
כתב ויתור
המידע והפרסומים אינם אמורים להיות, ואינם מהווים, עצות פיננסיות, השקעות, מסחר או סוגים אחרים של עצות או המלצות שסופקו או מאושרים על ידי TradingView. קרא עוד בתנאים וההגבלות.
כתב ויתור
המידע והפרסומים אינם אמורים להיות, ואינם מהווים, עצות פיננסיות, השקעות, מסחר או סוגים אחרים של עצות או המלצות שסופקו או מאושרים על ידי TradingView. קרא עוד בתנאים וההגבלות.