US Treasury 10 Year - 2 Year Spread Versus Fed Funds Rate

11 בפבר׳ 2022

This is what happened to the US Treasury 10 year - 2 year spread the last time the Federal Reserve embarked on a tightening cycle. My prediction: as before, as soon as the 10 year and 2 year yields touch (the spread approaches 0%), the Fed will be forced to reverse course and begin lowering rates in order to avert a yield curve inversion and the potential for a recession.