USDCAD consolidation could turn bearish below 1.4300 level.
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The USDCAD currency pair sentiment appears neutral, supported by the longer-term sideways consolidation trading range. However, since the spike caused by the possible tariff announcement on 03rd February 2024, the USDCAD price action is starting to display some signs of bearish behaviour. Today, Thursday 13th February 2025 USDCAD is testing psychologically important support around the 1.4300 level. The price action is triggered by the increase in optimism over the Russia and Ukraine truce. The USD currency remains strong on the expectations that the Fed will hold interest rates at the current levels for longer. On the other hand, the market expectation for BoC is to continue gradually reducing the interest rates further.
The key trading level is at 1.4300, the current swing low range from 18th December 2024 until 04th February 2025. A continuation of the selling pressure below the 1.4300 level and a daily close below the 1.4250 support level could target additional downside support at 1.4200 followed by the 1. 4250 and 1.4110 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, an oversold rally from the current levels and a confirmed breakout above 1.4380 resistance and a daily close above that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for a further rally and a retest of 1.4430 resistance followed by 1.4450 levels.
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