Oil will fall signaling a recession and bonds will soar!
מעודכן
Oil lost the monthly trendline, back-tested it twice now and is ready for the fall. 200ma is flat which means a decisive movement is coming. If oil falls, so will yields - signaling deflation which'll cause the FED to cut rates before the election.
Check out my
TLT thread, I think you could buy OTM calls with that right now, or on 
TMF for August-September and make a killing.
If you're in oil, it wouldn't hurt to hedge right now.
AFTER rates are cut, and the dollar starts going towards 97 THEN oil will blast-off with the second leg of inflation..
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
Check out my
TLT thread, I think you could buy OTM calls with that right now, or on TMF for August-September and make a killing. If you're in oil, it wouldn't hurt to hedge right now.
AFTER rates are cut, and the dollar starts going towards 97 THEN oil will blast-off with the second leg of inflation..
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
הערה
Down no matter what, how far is a matter of discussion. Maybe I'm overshooting it...x.com/TTCSteve/status/1805990755682681254
הערה
Oil will fake breakout and plunge soon
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