Crude bounces

28 במאי

Crude oil has put in quite a turnaround over the last couple of trading sessions. At the end of last week, Brent and WTI had sliced through support and looked as if they were set to head lower. Both had broken down through the lower ends of their respective trading ranges that had been building since the beginning of this month. But prices suddenly turned higher and Brent and WTI are now comfortably back within their ranges once again. This has seen front-month WTI head back towards $80 per barrel, a level which has held as resistance this month. The daily MACDs on both contracts have been in oversold territory since early this month. But these had flattened out recently and turned higher, suggesting a rally could be on the cards. Well it has now happened, but not before support there was a break of significant support. There are meetings between OPEC and OPEC+ members this coming weekend. The expectation is that the group will extend its current production cuts from June through to the end of September. Before then, there’s an update on the Fed’s preferred inflation measure, Core PCE. This has the potential to upset investors if it were to come in above expectations, and thereby reduce the possibility of Fed rate cuts this year.