After reversing higher in mid-July, DXY has almost been on a continuous run to the upside. That said, from the broader perspective, the index is still trading below a medium-term tentative downside resistance line drawn from the high of May 31st. The price is already approaching that line and the question is will it end up breaking that trendline?

If the bulls are able to break that downside line, this may attract more buyers into the game, as such a move could break the downtrend. This could clear the path towards the 200-day EMA, or even to the 103.25 zone.

Alternatively, if the downside line holds, this may result in DXY moving back down. That said, we would get a bit more comfortable with lower areas if the price falls below a short-term tentative upside support line taken from the low of July 18th. This way the index may invite more bears into the field and could travel all the way back to the 101.11 obstacle, or even the 100.50 area.

DariusAnucauskas

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