Vechain (VET) - 3D. We are waiting for the test of the ATH

25 ביוני 2021

The unstable situation in the cryptocurrency market, a sharp change in investor sentiment and fear of the continuation of a total fall in prices motivated us to update our global forecast for the Vechain coin. We remember that in a completely opposite situation on the market, when everyone believed exclusively in the continuation of the cryptocurrency market without corrective growth, we published our previous VETUSDT market forecast. Below you can check How clearly the idea worked (the result of the market fall by more than 70%):

Today we decided to continue looking for relevant mid-term scenarios and built a new fractal. Of course, it is unreasonable to rely only on a part of the schedule that is somewhat reminiscent of the current situation. Therefore, below there will be other arguments for such a positive scenario.

We'll start by looking at the 4 hour timeframe. As you can see in the chart, buyers are carefully holding the price and increasing their positions in the range of $0.66-0.75. Even if we assume that the VET market will continue to fall, then the correction of the previous fall wave is still incomplete:

The increase in trading volumes in the range of $0.66-0.75 and the unsuccessful attempt of sellers to gain a foothold below this liquid zone indicate that the consolidation in the VET market has not yet been completed. From the local perspective, we expect the price to rise in the range of $0.116-0.12

Given the strength of the previous wave of decline, the continuation of the medium-term upward or downward movement of the VET price is impossible without increasing positions by market participants. Therefore, by mid-summer, we will expect further consolidation in the VET market.

If we analyze the VETBTC chart, we see that sellers were trying to gain a foothold below the global range 0.000002-0.00000236. However, their attempt ended with a false breakout:

The current attempt by sellers to break through this range looks much weaker, which signals the weakness of sellers in this price range. As a result, a consolidation triangle is also formed on the VETBTC chart

Fixing the price above the 0.000002-0.00000236 range will signal the beginning of a new wave of growth in the VET market.

An alternative scenario of a complete collapse of the VET price, we will consider only when the price fixes below $ 0.05