What news has recently affected the trend of gold and crude oil?

How to judge the future market of gold bulls and bears?

On Friday (March 7), spot gold prices soared due to the weak non-agricultural report, but after the hawkish remarks of Fed Powell, gold prices staged a "high diving". Subsequently, Fed Powell reiterated that there is no rush to cut interest rates. Uncertainty in the economic outlook has increased, and progress in inflation and continued employment has been uneven. It remains to be seen. We can wait for the impact of Trump's policies to become clearer. Powell added that the easing of geopolitical tensions also limited the rise in gold prices, and some progress has been made in a possible ceasefire agreement between Ukraine and Russia. In the Middle East, US President Trump continued to pressure Hamas to release hostages. At the same time, according to the World Gold Council, the People's Bank of China continued to buy gold. The People's Bank of China increased its holdings of gold by 10 tons in the first two months of 2025. However, the largest buyer was the Polish Central Bank, which added 29 tons of gold reserves, the largest purchase since it bought 95 tons of gold in June 2019. The gold market is currently in a consolidation phase, and risk aversion provides continued support.
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